Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jessica Shepard is Over 5.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 50%, for a model edge of +20.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 2:27PM UTC
WNBA
Jessica Shepard
WNBA
Latest Model Pick
Assists
Over 5.5
+100 (2.00) · $100→$200
+20.7% Edge
Dallas Wings
@
Minnesota Lynx
Target Center, Minnesota · Indoor
Sun 9 Aug, 7:30PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 366 of 467 right
OUT
Shepard (ankle) will not return to Sunday's game against the Lynx. She'll finish with one assist in five minutes.
updated Aug 9, 8:11PM UTC
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Implied Probability
50.0%
Predicted Value
6.4 Assists
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Assists | 70.7% | — | 50.0% | 2.13 | +20.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 4/10 |
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Jessica Shepard Over 5.5 Assists (+100)
Odds available at williamhill_us at time of publishing Minnesota Lynx play Dallas Wings in the WNBA on Monday 10 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jessica Shepard Over 5.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. The game is at Target Center in Minnesota. Our model expects Jessica Shepard to finish with about 6.4 assists. The line for this one is 5.5. Our number sits above that line. This one is priced as an outside chance.
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Overall Hit Rate (27 picks)
59.3%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Jessica Shepard is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 59.3% on tracked Jessica Shepard picks. The latest model pick for Jessica Shepard is Over 5.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.7% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Wings vs Minnesota Lynx on Sunday 9 August at Target Center, Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.