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Model picks & player props
Portland Fire
VS
Connecticut Sun

Portland Fire vs Connecticut Sun Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 23, 3:23PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

WNBA
Mohegan Sun Arena, Connecticut
Indoor
Tue 14 Jul 2026, 3:10PM
8
Game markets graded
15
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Portland Fire 2.5 Spread -106

The model graded 23 markets for Portland Fire vs Connecticut Sun (WNBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $194 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 14 Jul 2026, 3:10PM at Mohegan Sun Arena.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win57.0%
The price says49.2%
Best price-106
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Portland Fire 2.5 Lean57% chance -106
Spread Lean58% chance
Total Points Lean57% chance
Total Points Lean56% chance
Spread Lean55% chance
Spread Lean56% chance
Assists × 1 prop Highup to 77%
Rebounds × 5 props Highup to 74%
Pts+Reb+Ast × 2 props Highup to 76%
Points × 6 props Highup to 71%
3-Pointers × 1 prop Highup to 64%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 166.5 · $100 returned $191

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best WNBA market — 725 of 958 right (wnba spread calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 22
Portland Fire 3.5
Portland Fire @ Toronto Tempo
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Our call on this game: 1 pick on tonight's board · logged before tip-offSee tonight's picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Portland Fire
+2.5
+ 7 more markets
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All 8 game markets and 15 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 55,593+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Portland FireSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Portland FireSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Connecticut SunSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Portland Fire

  • Luisa Geiselsoder COut
  • Sarah Ashlee Barker GOut
  • Sania Feagin FOut

Connecticut Sun

  • Raegan Beers FDay-to-day
  • Rayah Marshall COut
  • Aaliyah Edwards FOut
  • Brittney Griner COut
Availability updated Aug 23, 3:02AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Portland Fire vs Connecticut Sun: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Carla Leite POR Assists
Brittney Griner CON Rebounds
Brittney Griner CON Pts+Reb+Ast
Bridget Carleton POR Rebounds
Brittney Griner CON Points

+ 15 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Portland Fire @ Connecticut Sun — what the model found

Our model graded 23 betting markets for Portland Fire at Connecticut Sun — 8 on the game itself and 15 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

8
Game markets graded
15
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 23 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 22 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Portland Fire vs Connecticut Sun — recent results

Connecticut Sun have won 1 of their last 5 games; Portland Fire have won 3 of their last 5.

Connecticut Sun — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L68–77LAAway
L78–101LVAway
W85–77LAHome
L75–82NYHome
L69–104ATLHome
Portland Fire — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L79–82TORAway
W88–85PHXAway
W84–82SEAAway
L81–85MINHome
W100–93SEAHome

Portland Fire vs Connecticut Sun — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Connecticut Sun won 1, Portland Fire won 2.

DateConnecticut SunPortland FireWinner
Jul 149087Connecticut Sun
May 286171Portland Fire
May 198283Portland Fire

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Connecticut Sun
PlayerStatus
Raegan Beers FDAY-TO-DAY
Rayah Marshall COUT
Aaliyah Edwards FOUT
Brittney Griner COUT
Portland Fire
PlayerStatus
Luisa Geiselsoder COUT
Sarah Ashlee Barker GOUT
Sania Feagin FOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
6
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
14 Jul 26 Total Points Over 167 ✓ HIT
14 Jul 26 Total Points Over 166.5 ✓ HIT
14 Jul 26 Spread Connecticut Sun +1.5 ✓ HIT
14 Jul 26 Spread Connecticut Sun +2 ✓ HIT
14 Jul 26 Spread Portland Fire +2.5 ✗ MISS
14 Jul 26 Spread Portland Fire +2 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Portland Fire vs Connecticut Sun in the WNBA. You may also see this matchup written as Fire vs Sun, or as Sun vs Fire. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 14 July 2026 at Mohegan Sun Arena. The model has generated 8 game picks and 15 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your WNBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Portland Fire 2–1 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
14 Jul 2026Portland Fire @ Connecticut Sun90–87Connecticut Sun
28 May 2026Connecticut Sun @ Portland Fire71–61Portland Fire
19 May 2026Connecticut Sun @ Portland Fire83–82Portland Fire
Today's selected board

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