Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Megan DiLeo is Under 14.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 57%, implied 53%, edge +3.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 16, 8:35PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Points
Under 14.5
-115 (1.87) · $100→$187
+3.3% Edge
Portland Fire
@
Phoenix Mercury
PHX Arena, Phoenix · Indoor
Sun 16 Aug, 11:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 533 of 691 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
57 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 56.8% · the book's price implies 53.5% · gap +3.3%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Points | 56.8% | — | 53.5% | 2.00 | +3.3% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 3/3 |
| Last 5 games | 5/5 |
| Last 10 games | 9/10 |
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Megan DiLeo Under 14.5 Points (-115)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing Phoenix Mercury play Portland Fire in the WNBA on Monday 17 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Megan DiLeo Under 14.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The game is at PHX Arena in Phoenix. Our model expects Megan DiLeo to finish with about 14.1 points. The line for this one is 14.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Overall Hit Rate (31 picks)
54.8%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Megan DiLeo is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 54.8% on tracked Megan DiLeo picks. The latest model pick for Megan DiLeo is Under 14.5 on Points. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Fire vs Phoenix Mercury on Sunday 16 August at PHX Arena, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.