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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bridget Carleton is Under 2.5 on 3-Pointers.
On 3-Pointers, our numbers say this bet wins about 61 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 61%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 5, 10:22AM UTC
WNBA

Bridget Carleton

WNBA

Value call

Bridget Carleton has one live pick today: 3-Pointers Under 2.5 that pays $190 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 2.5 -111 (1.90) · $100→$190
Value call
Portland Fire @ Los Angeles Sparks
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 11:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 2,501 of 3,328 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
61 in 100
Predicted
2.1 3-Pointers
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 61.2% · the book's price implies 52.6% · gap +8.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers61.2%—52.6%2.05+8.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Los Angeles Sparks vs Portland Fire: Bridget Carleton Under 2.5 Three-Pointers Made (-111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Bridget Carleton has been struggling lately, and the numbers show it. For the Sparks, she's only been making just over two three-pointers a game in her recent outings, which isn't enough to hit the over on this bet. The Sparks have been scoring about 85 points a game, but that doesn't always mean Carleton is in the mix for long shots. The Portland Fire have had a tough schedule, making their games more challenging. With Carleton's recent form and the competition she's up against, there's a real chance she might not sink more than two three-pointers. This makes betting under 2.5 a solid choice, but remember, it's not a sure thing.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)
Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 65.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Aug 26 Golden State Valkyries @ Portland Fire Pts+Reb+Ast 22.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Golden State Valkyries @ Portland Fire Pts+Ast 17.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Golden State Valkyries @ Portland Fire 3-Pointers 2.5 Under +116 ✓ HIT
30 Aug 26 Golden State Valkyries @ Portland Fire Pts+Ast — — — Pending
30 Aug 26 Golden State Valkyries @ Portland Fire Rebounds — — — Pending
30 Aug 26 Golden State Valkyries @ Portland Fire Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Bridget Carleton is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 65.0% on tracked Bridget Carleton picks. The latest model pick for Bridget Carleton is Under 2.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.5% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Fire vs Los Angeles Sparks on Sunday 20 September at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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