Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Bridget Carleton is Under 16.5 on player_points.
On the player_points market the model assigns a model win probability of 60%, versus the book's implied 51%, for a model edge of +8.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 3, 1:47PM UTC
WNBA
Bridget Carleton
WNBA
Latest Model Pick
player_points
Under 16.5
-104 (1.96)
+8.6% Edge
Los Angeles Sparks
@
Portland Fire
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
51.0%
Predicted Value
15.6 player_points
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| player_points | 59.6% | — | 51.0% | 2.09 | +8.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 6/10 |
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Bridget Carleton Under 16.5 Points (-104)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing Portland Fire play Los Angeles Sparks in the WNBA on Monday 3 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Bridget Carleton Under 16.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -104 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.60 if it lands. Our model expects Bridget Carleton to finish with about 15.6 points. The line for this one is 16.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Overall Hit Rate (30 picks)
73.3%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Bridget Carleton is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 73.3% on tracked Bridget Carleton picks. The latest model pick for Bridget Carleton is Under 16.5 on player_points. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.6% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Sparks vs Portland Fire on Sunday 2 August. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.