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Model picks & player props
NFL
Tampa Bay
Sun 4 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Green Bay Packers
VS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers and backs Over 10.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $285.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
over 10.5 points
Over 10.5 Alternate Team Totals H1
You bet$10 If it wins$28.50Best price+185
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win43.9%
The price says32.3%

The model graded 70 markets for Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $285 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 4 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Tampa Bay.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Team Totals H1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 10.5 Lean44% chance +185
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Lean45% chance Members
Alternate Team Totals H2 Members only Long-shot39% chance Members
Team Totals H2 Members only Lean59% chance Members
Team Total Members only Lean58% chance Members
Totals Q4 Members only Lean54% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean50% chance Members
Team Totals H1 Members only Lean58% chance Members
Team Totals Q1 Members only Lean46% chance Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 89% Members
Rushing Yards × 4 props Highup to 73% Members
Receiving Yards × 11 props Highup to 74% Members
Receptions × 7 props Highup to 84% Members
Rushing Attempts × 2 props Highup to 72% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers last met on Sun 4 Oct 2026: Green Bay Packers won 17-14. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Team Totals H1
Over
10.5
+185
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 72,738+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverAlternate Team Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotals Q4The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay BuccaneersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Totals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Totals H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotals Q1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay BuccaneersSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMoneyline Q2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Green Bay Packers

  • Micah Parsons DEOut
  • Christian Watson WRQuestionable
  • Kaleb Johnson RBOut
  • Jonnu Smith TEOut
  • Sean Rhyan GOut
  • Travis Glover OTOut
  • Donovan Jennings GOut
  • Zaire Franklin LBOut

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Luke Goedeke OTQuestionable
  • Kenny Gainwell RBQuestionable
  • Emeka Egbuka WROut
  • Josh Hayes CBOut
  • Christian Rozeboom LBOut
Availability updated Oct 31, 2:09PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jonnu Smith GB Receiving Yards (Alt)
Kaleb Johnson GB Rushing Yards
Jordan Love GB Rushing Yards
Tucker Kraft GB Receiving Yards
Emeka Egbuka TB Receiving Yards (Alt)

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineTampa Bay Buccaneers to winNo line posted

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadTampa Bay Buccaneers spreadNo line posted

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsPackers @ BuccaneersNo line posted

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — recent results

Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 2 of their last 5 games; Green Bay Packers have won 4 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W43–13CARAway
L19–26PITHome
W24–16DALAway
L14–17GBHome
L16–23MINHome
Green Bay Packers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W27–19CARHome
L17–20DETAway
W23–13DALHome
W31–7CHIHome
W17–14TBAway

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 0, Green Bay Packers won 1.

DateTampa Bay BuccaneersGreen Bay PackersWinner
Oct 41417Green Bay Packers

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
PlayerStatus
Luke Goedeke OTQUESTIONABLE
Kenny Gainwell RBQUESTIONABLE
Emeka Egbuka WROUT
Josh Hayes CBOUT
Christian Rozeboom LBOUT
Green Bay Packers
PlayerStatus
Micah Parsons DEOUT
Christian Watson WRQUESTIONABLE
Kaleb Johnson RBOUT
Jonnu Smith TEOUT
Sean Rhyan GOUT
Travis Glover OTOUT
Donovan Jennings GOUT
Zaire Franklin LBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Packers vs Buccaneers, or as Buccaneers vs Packers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 4 October 2026 at Tampa Bay. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 4 Oct 2026Green Bay Packers beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17-14 on the road

Green Bay Packers: last 5 results

  1. 29 Oct 2026Wonvs Carolina Panthers 27-19
  2. 25 Oct 2026Lostat Detroit Lions 17-20
  3. 18 Oct 2026Wonvs Dallas Cowboys 23-13
  4. 11 Oct 2026Wonvs Chicago Bears 31-7
  5. 4 Oct 2026Wonat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17-14

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: last 5 results

  1. 25 Oct 2026Wonat Carolina Panthers 43-13
  2. 18 Oct 2026Lostvs Pittsburgh Steelers 19-26
  3. 8 Oct 2026Wonat Dallas Cowboys 24-16
  4. 4 Oct 2026Lostvs Green Bay Packers 14-17
  5. 27 Sep 2026Lostvs Minnesota Vikings 16-23

Quick answers

Who won the last Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers game? Green Bay Packers won their last meeting 17-14 on 4 October 2026.

How have Green Bay Packers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers done lately? Green Bay Packers won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold. Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Green Bay Packers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers head-to-head record

Final scores · 6 meetings on record
Even at 3–3 across the last 6 meetings · these games average 43.7 points (meetings on record since 2017)

Last meeting: Sun 4 Oct 2026, Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers: the Packers won 17-14.

DateGameScoreWinner
4 Oct 2026Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers14–17Green Bay Packers
17 Dec 2023Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Green Bay Packers20–34Tampa Bay Buccaneers
25 Sep 2022Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers12–14Green Bay Packers
24 Jan 2021Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Green Bay Packers26–31Tampa Bay Buccaneers
18 Oct 2020Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers38–10Tampa Bay Buccaneers
3 Dec 2017Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Green Bay Packers26–20Green Bay Packers

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