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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
VS
Cincinnati Bengals

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 21, 3:14AM UTC

Our model graded 70 markets for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals and backs Cincinnati Bengals -1.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $224.

NFL
Cincinnati
Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:00PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Cincinnati Bengals -1.5 Spreads Q3 +124

The model graded 70 markets for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $224 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 13 Sep 2026, 5:00PM at Cincinnati.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win59.6%
The price says44.6%
Best price+124
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spreads Q3 Cincinnati Bengals -1.5 Lean60% chance +124
Alternate Spreads H2 Members only High65% chance Members
Alternate Team Total Points Members only High76% chance Members
Spreads H1 Members only High63% chance Members
Moneyline H2 Members only Lean49% chance Members
Alternate Totals H1 Members only Long-shot27% chance Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 6 props Highup to 98% Members
Receptions × 4 props Highup to 66% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 6 props Highup to 66% Members
Receiving Yards × 6 props Highup to 73% Members
Rushing Yards × 3 props Highup to 72% Members
Passing Touchdowns × 1 prop Highup to 85% Members
Last Touchdown Scorer × 11 props Long-shotup to 22% Members
Pass Attempts × 1 prop Highup to 68% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Cincinnati Bengals last met on Sun 13 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Mike Gesicki Over 4.5 · $100 returned $740

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NFL market — 339 of 532 right (nfl alternate team total points overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 20
Over 6.5
Miami Dolphins @ San Francisco 49ers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $107
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spreads Q3
Cincinnati Bengals
-1.5
+124
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,618+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Cincinnati BengalsSpreads Q3The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati BengalsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati BengalsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati BengalsSpreads H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Cincinnati BengalsAlternate Spreads H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay BuccaneersMoneyline H2The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverAlternate Totals H1The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Jacob Parrish CBOut
  • Billy Schrauth GOut
  • Elijah Simmons DTOut
  • Ayden Garnes CBOut
  • Luke Haggard GOut
  • DeMonte Capehart DTOut
  • Josh Hayes CBOut
  • Mohamed Kamara LBOut
  • David Sills V WROut

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Josh Johnson QBOut
  • B.J. Hill DTOut
  • Ke'Shawn Williams WROut
  • Landon Robinson DTOut
  • Connor Lew COut
  • Josh Newton CBOut
  • Myles Hinton OTOut
  • Brian Parker II OTOut
  • Ja'Sir Taylor CBOut
Availability updated Sep 21, 2:11AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Mike Gesicki CIN Receiving Yards (Alt)
Samaje Perine CIN Receiving Yards (Alt)
Ja'Marr Chase CIN Receptions
Ja'Marr Chase CIN Receptions (Alt)
Samaje Perine CIN Receiving Yards

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineTampa Bay Buccaneers to winNo line posted

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadCincinnati Bengals spreadNo line posted

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsBuccaneers @ BengalsNo line posted

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals — recent results

Cincinnati Bengals have won 4 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 3 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Bengals — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W33–27TBHome
W30–13PHIAway
W27–9CHIHome
W16–14DETHome
L18–20CLEHome
Tampa Bay Buccaneers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L27–33CINAway
L0–19JAXAway
W16–15KCHome
W24–16NYJAway
W16–14CARHome

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Cincinnati Bengals won 1, Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 0.

DateCincinnati BengalsTampa Bay BuccaneersWinner
Sep 133327Cincinnati Bengals

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Bengals
PlayerStatus
Josh Johnson QBOUT
B.J. Hill DTOUT
Ke'Shawn Williams WROUT
Landon Robinson DTOUT
Connor Lew COUT
Josh Newton CBOUT
Myles Hinton OTOUT
Brian Parker II OTOUT
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
PlayerStatus
Jacob Parrish CBOUT
Billy Schrauth GOUT
Elijah Simmons DTOUT
Ayden Garnes CBOUT
Luke Haggard GOUT
DeMonte Capehart DTOUT
Josh Hayes CBOUT
Mohamed Kamara LBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
13 Sep 26 Alternate Team Total Points Under 32.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Moneyline H2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Team Total Points Under 31.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Team Total Points Under 30.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Spreads H1 Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Team Total Points Under 29.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Team Total Points Under 28.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Totals H1 Over 33.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Totals H1 Over 32.5 ✓ HIT
13 Sep 26 Alternate Team Total Points Under 27.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Buccaneers vs Bengals, or as Bengals vs Buccaneers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 13 September 2026 at Cincinnati. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 3 meetings on record
Cincinnati Bengals 3–0 across the last 3 meetings (meetings on record since 2018)
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Sep 2026Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals33–27Cincinnati Bengals
18 Dec 2022Cincinnati Bengals @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers23–34Cincinnati Bengals
28 Oct 2018Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Cincinnati Bengals37–34Cincinnati Bengals

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