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Kaleb Johnson

GB

Value call

Kaleb Johnson has one live pick today: under 36.5 rushing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
60 in 100
Predicted
30.0 rushing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 59.7% · before adjusting for past results 70.5% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +6.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers
Green Bay · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Kaleb Johnson
under 36.5 rushing yards
Rushing Yards Under 36.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 60 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kaleb Johnson is Under 36.5 on Rushing Yards.
On Rushing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 60%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 12:39AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards70.5%59.7%53.2%1.98+17.3%

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AI Analysis

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Kaleb Johnson (GB) Under 36.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Green Bay Packers play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kaleb Johnson (GB) Under 36.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 8 of last 10(80%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards22 lines trackedNo line posted
9.5typical line · rushing yds
line range9.5–38.5model over95%tips tracked22

Kaleb Johnson's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 22 times, typically around a 9.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Rushing Yards 36.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Rushing Yards 35.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Rushing Yards 34.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Rushing Yards — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers Rushing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
04 Oct 26 Green Bay Packers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Rushing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Kaleb Johnson (GB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kaleb Johnson is Under 36.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.3% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers on Sunday 11 October at Green Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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