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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Semi Ajayi is Over 2.5 on Shots.
On Shots, our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 8%, implied 4%, edge +3.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Sep 11, 5:51AM UTC
Soccer

Semi Ajayi

Hull City

+3.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Shots Over 2.5 +2200 (23.00) · $100→$2,300
+3.5% Edge
Hull City @ Chelsea
Stamford Bridge, London, Greater London · Outdoor
Sat 12 Sep, 2:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer draw no bet calls: 62 of 128 right
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
8 in 100
Predicted
0.8 Shots
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 7.9% · the book's price implies 4.3% · gap +3.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots7.9%4.3%12.72+3.5%

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AI Analysis

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Semi Ajayi (Hull City) Over 2.5 Shots (+2200)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Hull City gears up to face Chelsea, all eyes should be on Semi Ajayi for a sneaky player prop bet on total shots. While Ajayi’s recent numbers might not scream ‘goal-scoring threat’, there’s a unique twist to this matchup that makes the Over 2.5 shots line intriguing. Chelsea’s high defensive line often invites pressure, and with Ajayi’s knack for getting forward, he could find himself in more attacking positions. Even though he’s averaged only 0.2 shots in his last five outings, the context matters. Hull may find themselves defending for long stretches, leading to more opportunities for Ajayi to take a shot or two when they do break. If he can find himself at least a couple of chances, he might just surprise us. Given Chelsea's porous defense at times, this could be the perfect game for Ajayi to surpass that shot mark—so don’t sleep on this one!

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Pick History & Track Record

Semi Ajayi's lines for Sat 12 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Shots 2.5
+500 best over price · 1 book

Semi Ajayi's shots line is 2.5, best over price +500 across 1 book.

Semi Ajayi — 2021 season

Semi Ajayi scored 2 goals with 0 assists in 33 Premier League appearances for West Brom in the 2021 season, from 13 shots (4 on target) and an expected-goals total of 1.9.

2
Goals
0
Assists
1.9
xG
13
Shots
4
On target
7
Key passes
33
Apps
2780
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Semi Ajayi (Hull City) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Semi Ajayi is Over 2.5 on Shots. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Hull City vs Chelsea on Saturday 12 September at Stamford Bridge, London. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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