On August 2, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for San Francisco Giants at San Diego Padres is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip HIGH confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Jackson Merrill (SDP) Under 1.5 Doubles (-2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres take on the Giants this Sunday, all eyes will be on Jackson Merrill’s ability to find gaps in San Francisco’s formidable pitching staff. While Merrill has shown promise in his rookie season, he faces a Giants team boasting one of the league’s stingiest bullpens. Their pitchers have limited opponents to just a.365 slugging percentage, making extra-base hits a rare treat. Additionally, Merrill's recent performances indicate a tendency to hit singles rather than drive the ball into the alleys. With an underwhelming line of just 0.11 predicted doubles in this matchup, it’s clear that the odds are stacked against him to clear that 1.5 threshold. Given San Francisco's recent trend of shutting down key hitters, expecting Merrill to stay under on doubles seems not only plausible but likely. In this contest, the Giants’ arms may just keep him at bay.

Jackson Merrill (SDP) Under 2.5 RBIs (-1429)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres take on the Giants, all eyes will be on Jackson Merrill, but backing him to go over 2.5 RBIs seems like a stretch. The young slugger has shown flashes of brilliance, yet he’s been somewhat inconsistent lately against left-handed pitching, and the Giants are sending out a crafty southpaw. Merrill's recent production has been less than stellar, with just a handful of multi-RBI games this season. Moreover, the Padres' lineup has not been firing on all cylinders, especially when it comes to driving in runs. They’ve faced challenges converting opportunities into runs against quality pitching, and with the Giants’ bullpen looking sharper as of late, it’s hard to see Merrill breaking through for three RBIs in this matchup. With a model predicting just 0.29 RBIs for him, the under feels like the right call, especially given his recent trends.

Jackson Merrill (SDP) Under 1.5 Hits (-323)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres gear up to face the Giants, all eyes will be on rookie sensation Jackson Merrill. While the young hitter has shown promise, recent trends suggest he's in for a tough matchup. Facing off against a Giants pitching staff that has been nothing short of dominant lately, Merrill might find the going tough. San Francisco's rotation has been particularly stingy, with their starters limiting opponents to a meager.220 batting average over the last month. Moreover, Merrill himself has struggled against right-handed pitchers, batting just.220 in that scenario. With the added pressure of a critical divisional game, expect the Giants to exploit any weaknesses in the young hitter's approach. Taking all this into account, betting the under on Merrill's hits seems prudent, especially with the numbers pointing toward a likely struggle against an elite pitching squad.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Unlock all picks