On September 30, 2026 our model has run Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Pittsburgh Penguins To Win (+122), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins To Win (+122)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
The Pittsburgh Penguins need to outscore the Philadelphia Flyers to win tonight. The Penguins have been on fire, scoring an average of 3.54 goals a game, which is much better than the league average. They also have a solid shot count, taking about 28.6 shots per game and allowing just 27.4.
The Flyers, on the other hand, have struggled to find the back of the net, with only 2.93 goals per game. Their record shows they won only about a third of their games in regulation. This matchup is pretty close, so it might be tougher for the Penguins than expected. But given their scoring ability, they have a good chance to come out on top.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Pittsburgh Penguins 2nd Period Moneyline (+108)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
For the Penguins to win in the second period, they need to keep their goal-scoring up. Pittsburgh has been strong this season, averaging over three and a half goals a game, which is better than the league average. They also have a good shot count, taking nearly 29 shots a game, so they should create scoring chances.
The Flyers, on the other hand, have struggled to keep up, averaging just under three goals per game. Even though they play at home, they have only won about a third of their games in regulation. With both teams being fairly close in skill, the biggest risk is how well the Flyers play at home. Still, the Penguins have the firepower to take this one.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Under 5.5 Total Goals (+114)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Betting on under 5.5 total goals at +114 for the Flyers against the Penguins makes sense given the teams' scoring trends. Philadelphia is averaging just under 3 goals a game, while Pittsburgh is scoring about 3.5. Both teams are pretty evenly matched in terms of shots, with the Flyers taking 25.5 and allowing the same. This suggests a tight game where neither team is likely to run up the score.
However, there's a risk since both teams have shown they can score when it counts. The Flyers have struggled to win games in regulation, which could lead to extra time if it's close, making it a bit tricky. Still, with the Penguins allowing fewer shots and both clubs not lighting up the scoreboard, this bet has a good chance of hitting.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Dan Vladar Over 24.5 Saves (-110)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
The Philadelphia Flyers have been struggling a bit this season, scoring under three goals a game, while the Pittsburgh Penguins are finding the net more often with over three and a half goals. With the Flyers allowing around 25 shots a game, Dan Vladar will likely face quite a few pucks in this matchup. This sets the stage for a solid bet on Vladar making over 24.5 saves.
The Penguins are known for their offensive skills, which means Vladar will have his work cut out for him. The real risk here is the Flyers' ability to limit shots on goal, which could keep Vladar's save count lower than expected. However, considering the Penguins' scoring ability, it seems likely he'll get more than enough chances to make those saves.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Travis Konecny Under 0.5 Points (+100)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
The Flyers are hosting the Penguins at Xfinity Mobile Arena, and both teams have been in a bit of a scoring slump lately. Philadelphia has been averaging just under three goals a game this season, while Pittsburgh has been slightly better but still inconsistent. Travis Konecny, a key player for the Flyers, might find it tough to get on the scoreboard in this matchup against a Penguins team that allows a decent number of shots but can tighten up defensively.
With the game being rated close to a coin flip, it's a risky bet to say Konecny will score. The most concrete risk here is that both teams have shown they can struggle to finish chances lately. This makes the pick of under 0.5 points for Konecny a reasonable bet, but remember, nothing is guaranteed.
Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Porter Martone Under 2.5 Shots on Goal (-125)
Odds correct at time of publishing.
Porter Martone faces a tough challenge against the Pittsburgh Penguins, who are known for their solid defense and ability to limit shots. The Penguins have allowed an average of just 27.4 shots per game this season, making it hard for opposing players to find room to shoot. Martone, playing for the Flyers, has not been a high-volume shooter, which adds to the likelihood that he might struggle to get those shots off against such a strong team.
The bet is for Martone to have under 2.5 shots on goal. Our numbers give this a good chance, especially since the Flyers have averaged only 25.5 shots a game overall. The biggest risk here is that Martone might catch a break with a few opportunities, but against a team like Pittsburgh, he could easily be kept quiet.
That is our read — no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.