On Saturday 26 September 2026, Nottingham Forest play Arsenal in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 2.5 Total Goals, priced at -108 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Under 2.5 Total Goals (-108)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the signs point toward a low-scoring affair. Forest has struggled to find the net lately, averaging just 0.4 goals at home in their last five matches, while their expected goals (xG) tally mirrors their struggles—zero in the same span. This lack of offensive firepower, compounded by their defensive solidity, suggests they can keep the scoreline tight. Arsenal, on the other hand, has found success away from home but has only managed an average of 1.2 goals in their last five away outings. With both teams exhibiting a tendency to play it safe in recent matches, and the xG data supporting this trend, betting on under 2.5 total goals feels like a shrewd choice. Expect a tactical battle, where every goal counts and the board might remain frustratingly low.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal: Both Teams To Score: No (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

As Nottingham Forest prepares to host Arsenal, the stats tell a compelling story that suggests a low-scoring affair. Forest's recent form at home has been troubling, averaging a mere 0.4 goals in their last five home matches, while conceding just 0.8. Their xG numbers paint an even grimmer picture, with the team generating zero expected goals—indicative of a struggling attack. Meanwhile, Arsenal is in solid form, winning four of their last five away games, but they’ve only managed an average of 1.2 goals on the road. While they’ve been effective defensively, restricting opponents to just 0.8 goals, Forest's inability to find the net makes it hard to see both teams scoring. With Forest’s attacking woes and Arsenal’s defensive solidity, betting on "No" for both teams to score seems like a savvy move this Sunday.

That is how our model reads Nottingham Forest v Arsenal. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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