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Model picks & player props
Dallas Stars
VS
Tampa Bay Lightning

Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 9:17PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay
Indoor
Thu 30 Oct 2025, 11:00PM
1
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Dallas Stars Moneyline +124

For Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning (NHL), this is the model’s pick — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $224 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 30 Oct 2025, 11:00PM at Benchmark International Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.5%
The price says44.6%
Best price+124

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Dallas Stars
+124
Player props & full board
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Dallas StarsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Stars

  • Arttu Hyry RWOut
  • Roope Hintz COut
  • Tyler Seguin COut
  • Nils Lundkvist DOut

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut
Availability updated Jul 1, 6:06PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 5 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability5 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Dallas StarsNo line posted

Dallas Stars @ Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineDallas Stars +1.5No line posted

Dallas Stars @ Tampa Bay Lightning puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Dallas Stars @ Tampa Bay Lightning total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Dallas Stars @ Tampa Bay Lightning — what the model found

Our model graded 1 betting market for Dallas Stars at Tampa Bay Lightning — 1 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

1
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 1 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent results

Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5 games; Dallas Stars have won 2 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway
Dallas Stars — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–5MINAway
L2–4MINHome
L2–3MINAway
W4–3MINAway
W4–2MINHome

Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Tampa Bay Lightning won 1, Dallas Stars won 0.

DateTampa Bay LightningDallas StarsWinner
Jan 1841Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

5 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT
Dallas Stars
PlayerStatus
Arttu Hyry RWOUT
Roope Hintz COUT
Tyler Seguin COUT
Nils Lundkvist DOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Stars vs Lightning, or as Lightning vs Stars. The most recent game between them was Thursday 30 October 2025 at Benchmark International Arena. The model has generated 1 game pick for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Tampa Bay Lightning 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
18 Jan 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Dallas Stars1–4Tampa Bay Lightning
Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

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