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Model picks & player props
NHL
American Airlines Center, Dallas
Indoor
Sun 18 Jan 2026, 2:00 PM ET
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Dallas Stars

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 4 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars and backs Dallas Stars hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $224.

4
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Dallas Stars
to win
Dallas Stars Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$22.40Best price+124
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.5%
The price says44.6%

The model graded 4 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $224 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 18 Jan 2026, 2:00 PM ET at American Airlines Center.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Dallas Stars High64% chance +124
Moneyline Members only High65% chance Members
Spread Members only High74% chance Members
Puck Lines Members only High98% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NHL game on today's board →

Tampa Bay Lightning and Dallas Stars last met on Sun 18 Jan 2026: Tampa Bay Lightning won 4-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NHL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Dallas Stars
+124
+ 3 more markets
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All 4 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 70,470+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Dallas StarsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas StarsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas StarsPuck LinesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Anthony Cirelli CDay-to-day
  • Yanni Gourde COut

Dallas Stars

  • Esa Lindell DOut
  • Oskar Back COut
  • Matt Duchene COut
  • Luke Krys DOut
  • Cameron Hughes COut
Availability updated Oct 21, 6:52AM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 7 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability7 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Dallas Stars moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineDallas Stars +1.5No line posted
3-2last 5 record
GF/G2.4GA/G1.6Shots/G26.0vs Lightning5-0

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Dallas Stars puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Dallas Stars total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Dallas Stars — what the model found

Our model graded 4 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars — 4 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

4
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 4 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 3 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars — recent results

Dallas Stars have won 3 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 4 of their last 5.

Dallas Stars — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2BOSHome
W4–0CHIAway
W3–2COLAway
L2–3COLHome
L1–2PITAway
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–2VANHome
W4–3SEAHome
L1–4NYRAway
W5–3NYIAway
W3–2MINHome

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: Dallas Stars won 0, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1.

DateDallas StarsTampa Bay LightningWinner
Jan 1814Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

7 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Dallas Stars
PlayerStatus
Esa Lindell DOUT
Oskar Back COUT
Matt Duchene COUT
Luke Krys DOUT
Cameron Hughes COUT
Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Anthony Cirelli CDAY-TO-DAY
Yanni Gourde COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Stars, or as Stars vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Sunday 18 January 2026 at American Airlines Center. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Dallas Stars head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Tampa Bay Lightning 1–0 across the last meeting

Last meeting: Sun 18 Jan 2026, Tampa Bay Lightning at Dallas Stars: the Lightning won 4-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
18 Jan 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Dallas Stars1–4Tampa Bay Lightning

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