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NHL

Jason Robertson

Dallas Stars

Value call

Jason Robertson (Dallas Stars) has one live pick today: over 3.5 shots on goal that pays $230 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
46 in 100
Predicted
3.2 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 46.2% · the book's price implies 43.5% · gap +2.7%.

Latest Model PickFree
Montréal Canadiens @ Dallas Stars
American Airlines Center, Dallas, FUT · Indoor
Thu 29 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Jason Robertson
over 3.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 3.5 +130 (2.30) · $100→$230
Value call
LEANWins about 46 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00 Odds+130
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jason Robertson is Over 3.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 46 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 46%, the price says 43%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 31, 12:27PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal46.2%—43.5%2.16+2.7%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games6/10

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AI Analysis

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Dallas Stars vs Montreal Canadiens: Jason Robertson Over 3.5 Shots on Goal (+130)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Dallas Stars are playing well, winning 7 of their last 10 games. Jason Robertson has been a key player for them, and with the Stars' offense clicking, it feels like he could get at least 4 shots on goal here. The Canadiens have been solid too, winning 6 of their last 10, but they're not known for blocking shots, which helps Robertson find more opportunities. Both teams have been hitting hard, but the Stars are just a bit better at creating chances. The risk here is that the game could be tighter than expected, making chances harder to come by. Still, with the way Robertson's been playing and how both teams stack up, taking over 3.5 shots on goal for him seems like a good bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent game log

Jason Robertson has 4 goals and 7 assists (11 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
29 Oct 26vs MTL0004021:32
27 Oct 26vs NJD0003018:51
25 Oct 26vs NYI2023018:58
22 Oct 26vs WPG0224021:42
20 Oct 26vs BOS0223023:34
17 Oct 26@ CHI1127019:35
14 Oct 26@ COL0003322:23
13 Oct 26vs COL0112122:18
10 Oct 26@ PIT0113221:09
8 Oct 26@ BUF1014215:14
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Oct 26 Montréal Canadiens @ Dallas Stars Shots on Goal 3.5 Over +130 ✓ HIT
29 Oct 26 Montréal Canadiens @ Dallas Stars Shots on Goal — — — Pending
27 Oct 26 New Jersey Devils @ Dallas Stars Shots on Goal — — — Pending
05 Oct 26 San Jose Sharks @ Dallas Stars Points — — — Pending
03 Oct 26 Dallas Stars @ Nashville Predators Shots on Goal — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jason Robertson (Dallas Stars) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jason Robertson is Over 3.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.7% on this pick. Their next game is Montréal Canadiens vs Dallas Stars on Thursday 29 October at American Airlines Center, Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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