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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Lightning
VS
Seattle Kraken

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 1, 7:31AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle
Indoor
Wed 18 Mar 2026, 2:00AM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Seattle Kraken 1.5 Spread -167

The model graded 2 markets for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $160 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 18 Mar 2026, 2:00AM at Climate Pledge Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win77.2%
The price says62.5%
Best price-167
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Seattle Kraken 1.5 High77% chance -167
Moneyline High70% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Seattle Kraken
+1.5
-167
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Seattle KrakenSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay LightningMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Lightning

  • Pontus Holmberg RWOut

Seattle Kraken

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Availability updated May 5, 4:10PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Pontus Holmberg.
FactorThis fixture
Availability1 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Tampa Bay LightningNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Seattle Kraken moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineSeattle Kraken +1.5No line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Seattle Kraken puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Seattle Kraken total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Tampa Bay Lightning @ Seattle Kraken — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Tampa Bay Lightning at Seattle Kraken — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 1 graded call for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken — recent results

Seattle Kraken have won 2 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Lightning have won 2 of their last 5.

Seattle Kraken — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–2COLAway
L1–4VGKAway
L3–5LAHome
W4–1CGYHome
W4–3VGKHome
Tampa Bay Lightning — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2MTLHome
W1–0MTLAway
L2–3MTLHome
W3–2MTLAway
L2–3MTLAway

Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Seattle Kraken won 1, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1.

DateSeattle KrakenTampa Bay LightningWinner
Mar 2643Seattle Kraken
Mar 1826Tampa Bay Lightning

Who’s out or in doubt

1 player is listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Lightning
PlayerStatus
Pontus Holmberg RWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Lightning vs Kraken, or as Kraken vs Lightning. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 18 March 2026 at Climate Pledge Arena. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 2 meetings on record
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
26 Mar 2026Seattle Kraken @ Tampa Bay Lightning3–4Seattle Kraken
18 Mar 2026Tampa Bay Lightning @ Seattle Kraken2–6Tampa Bay Lightning
Today's selected board

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