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Model picks & player props
Pittsburgh Penguins
VS
Philadelphia Flyers

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 6:51PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NHL
Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia
Indoor
Tue 2 Dec 2025, 12:00AM
3
Game markets graded
2
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Pittsburgh Penguins Moneyline +114

The model graded 5 markets for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers (NHL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $214 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Tue 2 Dec 2025, 12:00AM at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win65.8%
The price says46.7%
Best price+114
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Pittsburgh Penguins High66% chance +114
Spread High81% chance —
Total Goals High99% chance —
Shots on Goal × 1 prop Highup to 74% —
Saves × 1 prop Leanup to 60% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Pittsburgh Penguins
+114
+ 2 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Pittsburgh PenguinsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Pittsburgh PenguinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Pittsburgh Penguins

No players are currently listed out or questionable for this team.

Philadelphia Flyers

  • Noah Cates LWOut
  • Owen Tippett RWOut
Availability updated May 12, 4:16PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and watch the availability of Noah Cates and Owen Tippett.
FactorThis fixture
Availability2 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Trevor Zegras Philadelphia Flyers Shots on Goal
Tristan Jarry Pittsburgh Penguins Saves

+ 2 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans Pittsburgh PenguinsNo line posted

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LinePittsburgh Penguins +1.5No line posted

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers total-goals model lean and scoring trends (the free board has not settled enough of these yet).

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Pittsburgh Penguins at Philadelphia Flyers — 3 on the game itself and 2 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded
2
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers — recent results

Philadelphia Flyers have won 1 of their last 5 games; Pittsburgh Penguins have won 2 of their last 5.

Philadelphia Flyers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–3CARHome
L1–4CARHome
L2–3CARAway
L0–3CARAway
W1–0PITHome
Pittsburgh Penguins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–1PHIAway
W3–2PHIHome
W4–2PHIAway
L2–5PHIAway
L0–3PHIHome

Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Philadelphia Flyers won 5, Pittsburgh Penguins won 3.

DatePhiladelphia FlyersPittsburgh PenguinsWinner
Apr 2910Philadelphia Flyers
Apr 2723Pittsburgh Penguins
Apr 2624Pittsburgh Penguins
Apr 2252Philadelphia Flyers
Apr 2030Philadelphia Flyers
Apr 1932Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 743Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 1636Pittsburgh Penguins

Who’s out or in doubt

2 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Philadelphia Flyers
PlayerStatus
Noah Cates LWOUT
Owen Tippett RWOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers — model preview

Winning bets for Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins? We break down NHL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Trevor Zegras. Explore NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins stats and odds.

Trevor Zegras (Philadelphia Flyers) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Trevor Zegras for Over 1.5 on the 'Player Shots On Goal' market is fueled by Zegras' strong recent performance and the model's prediction. Zegras' L5 average for shots on goal is 2.2 at home and 3 overall, which is above the bet line of 1.5. This indicates that Zegras is consistently achieving more than 1.5 shots on goal per game. Moreover, his hit rate in the last six home games is 5/6, and he is currently on a three-game hit streak overall. These trends further underscore Zegras' ability to exceed the bet line. The model prediction of 2.87, albeit with a standard deviation of 1.37, shows that the model also expects Zegras to register more than 1.5 shots on goal, reinforcing the rationale for this bet.

🔒 The other 1 write-up for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers in the NHL. You may also see this matchup written as Penguins vs Flyers, or as Flyers vs Penguins. The most recent game between them was Tuesday 2 December 2025 at Xfinity Mobile Arena. The model has generated 3 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
Philadelphia Flyers 5–3 across the last 8 meetings · these games average 5.4 goals
DateGameScoreWinner
29 Apr 2026Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers1–0Philadelphia Flyers
27 Apr 2026Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins3–2Pittsburgh Penguins
26 Apr 2026Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers2–4Pittsburgh Penguins
22 Apr 2026Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers5–2Philadelphia Flyers
20 Apr 2026Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins0–3Philadelphia Flyers
19 Apr 2026Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins2–3Philadelphia Flyers
7 Mar 2026Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins3–4Philadelphia Flyers
16 Jan 2026Philadelphia Flyers @ Pittsburgh Penguins6–3Pittsburgh Penguins
Today's selected board

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