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NFL

Jalen Hurts

PHI

Value call

Jalen Hurts has one live pick today: over 149.5 passing yards that pays $121 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
95 in 100
Predicted
206.3 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 94.6% · before adjusting for past results 96.6% · the book's price implies 82.6% · gap +12.0%.

Latest Model PickFree
Carolina Panthers @ Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Jalen Hurts
over 149.5 passing yards
Passing Yards (Alt) Over 149.5 -476 (1.21) · $100→$121
Value call
HIGHWins about 95 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$12.10 Odds-476
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Hurts is Over 149.5 on Passing Yards (Alt).
On Passing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 95 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 95%, the price says 83%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 10:36AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards (Alt)96.6%94.6%82.6%1.21+14.0%

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AI Analysis

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Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers: Jalen Hurts Over 149.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (-476)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Jalen Hurts has been playing really well, especially at home with the Eagles. They have a solid offense that can move the ball, and Hurts often makes big plays through the air. The Panthers' defense has struggled at times, which gives Hurts a good shot at hitting over 149.5 passing yards. One risk is that the Panthers could put up a strong fight and keep the game close, leading to less passing from Hurts if the Eagles lean on their run game. Still, our numbers see this as a strong favorite, making it a solid pick for the game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 9 of last 10(90%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Jalen Hurts's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Passing Yards172 lines trackedNo line posted
149.5typical line · passing yds
line range99.5–219.5model over96%tips tracked172

Jalen Hurts's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 172 times, typically around a 149.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Rushing Yards34 lines trackedNo line posted
28.5typical line · rushing yds
line range24.5–30.5tips tracked34

Jalen Hurts's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 34 times, typically around a 28.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many passing yards does Jalen Hurts average?How many rushing yards does Jalen Hurts average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
11 Oct 26 Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars Passing Yards (Alt) 169.5 Over -161 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars Passing Yards (Alt) 159.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
11 Oct 26 Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars Pass Completions — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending
11 Oct 26 Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars Passing Yards (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jalen Hurts (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Hurts is Over 149.5 on Passing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.0% on this pick. Their next game is Carolina Panthers vs Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday 18 October at Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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