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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Hurts is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 50%, versus the book's implied 47%, for a model edge of +3.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NFL

Jalen Hurts

PHI

+3.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +115 (2.15)
+3.7% Edge
San Francisco 49ers @ Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
As the coming season approaches, Hurts is slated to work with a dramatically different wide receiver corps, Glenn Erby of USA TODAY reports.
updated Jun 24, 1:17PM UTC · 26d old
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Model Probability
50.2%
Implied Probability
46.5%
Model Edge
+3.7%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer50.2%—46.5%1.99+3.7%

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AI Analysis

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Jalen Hurts (PHI) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+115)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Jalen Hurts to score a touchdown anytime during the Philadelphia Eagles vs San Francisco 49ers game is a risky proposition. Hurts has not been in great scoring form recently, with an overall hit rate of 0 from his last 20 attempts, and a hit rate of zero from his last 10 home games. However, his record against the 49ers is more promising. He has managed to score a touchdown in all his matches against the 49ers, both overall and at home. This includes a current hit streak of one against the 49ers, both overall and at home. The model's edge for this outcome is relatively low at 0.037, indicating a small advantage based on historical data. However, with his poor recent form, the risk seems higher than the potential return. Therefore, this bet is only recommended for those willing to take on significant risk.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
50%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Jalen Hurts's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 50%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jalen Hurts (PHI) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalen Hurts is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.7% on this pick. Their next game is San Francisco 49ers vs Philadelphia Eagles at Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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