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Model picks & player props
Dallas Cowboys
VS
Detroit Lions

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 5:47PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NFL
Detroit
Fri 5 Dec 2025, 1:15AM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Dallas Cowboys (Moneyline)
The model graded 20 markets for Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $240 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 47.2%, fair odds 2.12, book price +140, model edge +5.6%. Tip-off Fri 5 Dec 2025, 1:15AM at Detroit.
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 54.5 · $100 returned $192

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Dallas Cowboys
+140
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Dallas CowboysMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Cowboys

  • Jalen Thompson SQuestionable
  • Princeton Fant TEQuestionable
  • Zion Childress CBQuestionable
  • James Houston LBQuestionable
  • P.J. Locke SQuestionable

Detroit Lions

  • Tyler Conklin TEOut
  • Miles Kitselman TEQuestionable
  • Sione Vaki RBQuestionable
  • Anthony Firkser TEQuestionable
  • Derrick Moore DEQuestionable
  • Christian Izien SOut
  • Jimmy Rolder LBQuestionable
Availability updated Aug 10, 2:18PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 12 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability12 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDallas Cowboys to winNo line posted

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadDallas Cowboys spreadNo line posted

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsCowboys @ LionsNo line posted

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

12 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Lions
PlayerStatus
Tyler Conklin TEOUT
Miles Kitselman TEQUESTIONABLE
Sione Vaki RBQUESTIONABLE
Anthony Firkser TEQUESTIONABLE
Derrick Moore DEQUESTIONABLE
Christian Izien SOUT
Jimmy Rolder LBQUESTIONABLE
Dallas Cowboys
PlayerStatus
Jalen Thompson SQUESTIONABLE
Princeton Fant TEQUESTIONABLE
Zion Childress CBQUESTIONABLE
James Houston LBQUESTIONABLE
P.J. Locke SQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
4
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
05 Dec 25 Spread Dallas Cowboys +3 ✗ MISS
05 Dec 25 Total Points Over 54.5 ✓ HIT
05 Dec 25 Moneyline Dallas Cowboys ✗ MISS
05 Dec 25 Total Points Over 53.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Cowboys vs Lions, or as Lions vs Cowboys. The most recent game between them was Friday 5 December 2025 at Detroit. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

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