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Model picks & player props
Dallas Cowboys
VS
Detroit Lions

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 20, 6:01AM UTC

Our model graded 18 markets for Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions and backs Dallas Cowboys hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $242.

NFL
Detroit
Fri 5 Dec 2025, 1:15AM
18
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Dallas Cowboys Moneyline +142

The model graded 18 markets for Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $242 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 5 Dec 2025, 1:15AM at Detroit.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win47.2%
The price says41.3%
Best price+142
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Dallas Cowboys Lean47% chance +142
Total Points Members only Lean57% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean55% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →

Dallas Cowboys and Detroit Lions last met on Fri 5 Dec 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 54.5 · $100 returned $192

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best NFL market — 174 of 355 right (nfl alternate team total points overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 15
Kansas City Chiefs Over 17.5
Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $136
Our call on this game: — members only · unlock tonight's call1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Dallas Cowboys
+142
+ 17 more markets
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All 18 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,537+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Dallas CowboysMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Dallas CowboysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Dallas Cowboys

  • DeMarvion Overshown LBOut
  • Malik Hooker SOut
  • Malik Davis RBOut

Detroit Lions

  • Avonte Maddox CBQuestionable
  • Mekhi Wingo DTOut
  • Ennis Rakestraw Jr. CBOut
  • Jimmy Rolder LBOut
  • Ahmed Hassanein DEOut
  • Keith Abney II CBOut
  • Blake Miller OTOut
  • Christian Mahogany GOut
Availability updated Sep 19, 3:44AM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineDallas Cowboys to winNo line posted

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadDallas Cowboys spreadNo line posted

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsCowboys @ LionsNo line posted

Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions — what the model found

Our model graded 18 betting markets for Dallas Cowboys at Detroit Lions — 18 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

18
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 18 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 17 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions — recent results

Detroit Lions have won 3 of their last 5 games; Dallas Cowboys have won 2 of their last 5.

Detroit Lions — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L31–41BUFAway
W31–30NOHome
W25–16INDAway
W17–13WSHHome
L14–16CINAway
Dallas Cowboys — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L20–28NYGAway
L24–27NOHome
W34–13ARIAway
W17–7SEAAway
L17–34NYGAway

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Detroit Lions
PlayerStatus
Avonte Maddox CBQUESTIONABLE
Mekhi Wingo DTOUT
Ennis Rakestraw Jr. CBOUT
Jimmy Rolder LBOUT
Ahmed Hassanein DEOUT
Keith Abney II CBOUT
Blake Miller OTOUT
Christian Mahogany GOUT
Dallas Cowboys
PlayerStatus
DeMarvion Overshown LBOUT
Malik Hooker SOUT
Malik Davis RBOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
05 Dec 25 Total Points Over 54.5 ✓ HIT
05 Dec 25 Total Points Over 53.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Cowboys vs Lions, or as Lions vs Cowboys. The most recent game between them was Friday 5 December 2025 at Detroit. The model has generated 18 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 7 meetings on record
Dallas Cowboys 5–2 across the last 7 meetings · these games average 53.4 points (meetings on record since 2016)
DateGameScoreWinner
4 Dec 2025Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions44–30Detroit Lions
13 Oct 2024Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys9–47Detroit Lions
30 Dec 2023Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys20–19Dallas Cowboys
23 Oct 2022Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys24–6Dallas Cowboys
17 Nov 2019Dallas Cowboys @ Detroit Lions27–35Dallas Cowboys
30 Sep 2018Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys26–24Dallas Cowboys
26 Dec 2016Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys42–21Dallas Cowboys

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