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Model picks & player props
New England Patriots
VS
Cincinnati Bengals

New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 31, 5:10AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NFL
Cincinnati
Sun 23 Nov 2025, 6:00PM
3
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 49.5 Total Points -105

The model graded 3 markets for New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $195 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 23 Nov 2025, 6:00PM at Cincinnati.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win70.5%
The price says51.3%
Best price-105
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Points Under 49.5 High70% chance -105
Total Points High70% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every NFL game on today's board →
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Under 49.5 · $100 returned $195

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Points
Under
50.5
-106
+ 2 more markets
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All 3 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,403+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New England Patriots

  • Brenden Schooler SOut
  • Harold Landry III LBOut
  • TreVeyon Henderson RBQuestionable
  • Bryce Baringer PQuestionable
  • Marcus Bryant OTQuestionable
  • Myles Montgomery RBOut
  • Ben Brown CQuestionable

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Ja'Marr Chase WRQuestionable
  • Myles Murphy DEQuestionable
  • Dax Hill CBQuestionable
  • Shemar Stewart DEQuestionable
Availability updated Aug 30, 11:00PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals: Outdoors with 5 mph wind, 66°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 11 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfaceartificial turf
Wind5 mph
Temperature66°F
Availability11 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCincinnati Bengals to winNo line posted

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadCincinnati Bengals spreadNo line posted

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsPatriots @ BengalsNo line posted

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

New England Patriots @ Cincinnati Bengals — what the model found

Our model graded 3 betting markets for New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

3
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals — recent results

Cincinnati Bengals have won 3 of their last 4 games; New England Patriots have won 2 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Bengals — last 4
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W30–13PHIAway
W27–9CHIHome
W16–14DETHome
L18–20CLEHome
New England Patriots — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L13–37CLEAway
W24–21PHIHome
D13–13INDHome
L13–29SEAHome
W10–7DENAway

Who’s out or in doubt

11 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Bengals
PlayerStatus
Ja'Marr Chase WRQUESTIONABLE
Myles Murphy DEQUESTIONABLE
Dax Hill CBQUESTIONABLE
Shemar Stewart DEQUESTIONABLE
New England Patriots
PlayerStatus
Brenden Schooler SOUT
Harold Landry III LBOUT
TreVeyon Henderson RBQUESTIONABLE
Bryce Baringer PQUESTIONABLE
Marcus Bryant OTQUESTIONABLE
Myles Montgomery RBOUT
Ben Brown CQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
2
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
23 Nov 25 Total Points Under 49.5 ✓ HIT
23 Nov 25 Total Points Under 50.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New England Patriots vs Cincinnati Bengals in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Patriots vs Bengals, or as Bengals vs Patriots. The most recent game between them was Sunday 23 November 2025 at Cincinnati. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 5 meetings on record
New England Patriots 4–1 across the last 5 meetings · these games average 42.2 points (meetings on record since 2016)
DateGameScoreWinner
23 Nov 2025New England Patriots @ Cincinnati Bengals20–26New England Patriots
8 Sep 2024New England Patriots @ Cincinnati Bengals10–16New England Patriots
24 Dec 2022Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots18–22Cincinnati Bengals
15 Dec 2019New England Patriots @ Cincinnati Bengals13–34New England Patriots
16 Oct 2016Cincinnati Bengals @ New England Patriots35–17New England Patriots
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