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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Rays
VS
New York Mets

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 8, 8:40AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Citi Field, Queens (NYC)
Outdoor
Sat 14 Jun 2025, 8:10PM
0
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 20 of 106 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 8
Alec Burleson Over 0.5
St. Louis Cardinals @ San Francisco Giants
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $750
Our call on this game: 1 pick on the board · logged before tip-offSee the picks

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Manuel Rodriguez RPOut
  • Garrett Cleavinger RPOut
  • Bryan Baker RPDay-to-day
  • Shane McClanahan SPOut
  • Jake Fraley RFOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Ben Williamson 2BOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

New York Mets

  • Devin Williams RPOut
  • Jorge Polanco DHOut
  • Cionel Perez RPOut
  • Reed Garrett RPOut
  • Tylor Megill SPOut

Probable pitcher

Jonah Tong SP
Availability updated Sep 7, 5:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Starling Marte NYM Batter - Singles
Francisco Lindor NYM Batter - Stolen Bases
Griffin Canning NYM Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Shane Baz TBR Pitcher - Strikeouts
Tyrone Taylor NYM Batter - Stolen Bases

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNew York MetsNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA2.6Home L53-2vs Tampa Bay Rays L52-3

New York Mets moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineNew York Mets run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA2.6Home L53-2vs Tampa Bay Rays L52-3

New York Mets spread form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · New York Mets vs Tampa Bay RaysNo line posted

New York Mets total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsNew York Mets team totalNo line posted
2.4runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA2.6Home L53-2vs Tampa Bay Rays L52-3

New York Mets team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Mets — what the model found

Our model graded 5 betting markets for Tampa Bay Rays at New York Mets — 0 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 5 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 4 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets — recent results

New York Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Rays have won 2 of their last 5.

New York Mets — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W9–4MIAAway
W4–2SFHome
L5–9SFHome
W10–6SFHome
W10–4TBAway
Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L6–8TEXAway
W7–6TEXAway
W6–3TEXAway
L0–6TEXAway
L4–10NYMHome

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: New York Mets won 2, Tampa Bay Rays won 1.

DateNew York MetsTampa Bay RaysWinner
Sep 2104New York Mets
Sep 126Tampa Bay Rays
Aug 3132New York Mets

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

New York Mets
PlayerStatus
Devin Williams RPOUT
Jorge Polanco DHOUT
Cionel Perez RPOUT
Reed Garrett RPOUT
Tylor Megill SPOUT
Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Manuel Rodriguez RPOUT
Garrett Cleavinger RPOUT
Bryan Baker RPDAY-TO-DAY
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Jake Fraley RFOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Ben Williamson 2BOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Mets — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: New York Mets vs Tampa Bay Rays. Get predictions and top picks. Featuring picks like NA props. Keywords: same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

Griffin Canning (NYM) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Griffin Canning for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a solid choice when considering his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Canning has averaged five hits allowed overall and 4.2 hits at home. This trend significantly surpasses the 1.5 line set for this bet. Additionally, Canning's current hit streak stands at 61 overall and 30 at home, indicating a consistent pattern of allowing hits. Even when considering his performance against this specific opponent, his average hits allowed is 3, still above the 1.5 line. All these statistics suggest that Canning is likely to allow more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game, making this bet a statistically sound choice.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rays vs Mets, or as Mets vs Rays. The most recent game between them was Saturday 14 June 2025 at Citi Field. The model has generated 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 16 meetings on record
Tampa Bay Rays 10–6 across the last 16 meetings · these games average 10.5 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
2 Sep 2026New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays4–10New York Mets
1 Sep 2026New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays6–2Tampa Bay Rays
31 Aug 2026New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays2–3New York Mets
15 Jun 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Mets0–9Tampa Bay Rays
14 Jun 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Mets4–8Tampa Bay Rays
13 Jun 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Mets5–7Tampa Bay Rays
17 Mar 2025Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Mets0–2Tampa Bay Rays
1 Mar 2025New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays1–10New York Mets
5 May 2024New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays7–6Tampa Bay Rays
4 May 2024New York Mets @ Tampa Bay Rays3–1Tampa Bay Rays

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 16 meetings on file.

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