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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Tyrone Taylor is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 94%, versus the book's implied 89%, for a model edge of +4.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:14AM UTC
MLB

Tyrone Taylor

NYM

+4.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -833 (1.12)
+4.7% Edge
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
loanDepot Park, Miami, Florida · Indoor
Fri 26 Sep, 11:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
94.0%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+4.7%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases94.0%89.3%1.06+4.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Tyrone Taylor (NYM) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Tyrone Taylor's stolen bases is statistically supported. Taylor's recent performance shows a low stolen base average. Over the last five games, his overall stolen base average is just 0.2. When playing away games, this average drops to zero. His performance against the Marlins also supports this bet, as he has not stolen a base in the last five games against this team. Additionally, despite a strong away hit streak of 10 games, this has not translated into successful stolen bases. The Marlins' average of catching opposing players stealing is also 0.2, further indicating the difficulty Taylor may face in stealing bases. Therefore, the under 0.5 bet for Taylor's stolen bases is a sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2050%
O 0.550%
O 1.510%

Tyrone Taylor MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.510%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%

Tyrone Taylor MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2055%

Tyrone Taylor MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
O 1.510%

Tyrone Taylor MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2050%

Tyrone Taylor MLB singles: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg walks · L5
O 0.510%

Tyrone Taylor MLB walks: averaging 0.2 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Tyrone Taylor (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tyrone Taylor is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.7% on this pick. Their next game is New York Mets vs Miami Marlins on Friday 26 September at loanDepot Park, Miami. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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