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The latest Bet Better model pick for Griffin Canning is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 98%, versus the book's implied 96%, for a model edge of +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
MLB

Griffin Canning

NYM

+2.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Over 1.5 -2500 (1.04)
+2.3% Edge
Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Mets
Citi Field, Queens (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Sun 15 Jun, 5:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
98.5%
Implied Probability
96.2%
Model Edge
+2.3%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed98.5%—96.2%1.02+2.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games3/3
Last 5 games5/5
Last 10 games9/10

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AI Analysis

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Griffin Canning (NYM) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Griffin Canning for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market is a solid choice when considering his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Canning has averaged five hits allowed overall and 4.2 hits at home. This trend significantly surpasses the 1.5 line set for this bet. Additionally, Canning's current hit streak stands at 61 overall and 30 at home, indicating a consistent pattern of allowing hits. Even when considering his performance against this specific opponent, his average hits allowed is 3, still above the 1.5 line. All these statistics suggest that Canning is likely to allow more than 1.5 hits in the upcoming game, making this bet a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak13L2095%
O 2.5100%
O 3.580%
O 4.520%
O 5.540%
O 6.520%

Griffin Canning MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak30L20100%
O 1.5100%
O 2.5100%
O 3.590%
O 4.540%
O 5.560%
O 6.530%
O 7.510%

Griffin Canning MLB hits allowed: cleared over 1.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
Streak11L2090%
O 0.5100%
O 1.590%
O 2.550%
O 3.510%

Griffin Canning MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - Earned RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
80%hit L10
1.8avg earned runs · L5
Streak5L2080%

Griffin Canning MLB earned runs: cleared over 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.8 earned runs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
15.6avg outs · L5

Griffin Canning MLB outs: averaging 15.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Griffin Canning (NYM) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Griffin Canning is Over 1.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets on Sunday 15 June at Citi Field, Queens (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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