On September 04, 2026 our model has run San Francisco Giants at New York Mets and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is New York Mets -1.5 Spread (+119), which we rate long shot confidence. Every bet below is our own number against the price on the board, in plain English.
Every bet we like in this game
Odds correct at time of publishing
The Mets have been a bit shaky lately, winning only 4 of their last 10 games. They hit well against left-handed pitchers, which is good news because the Giants have struggled with them all season. At home, the Mets have performed slightly better than the Giants do on the road, which adds to their chances. Betting on the Mets to win by at least two runs seems promising, especially with their solid performance against lefties. However, the Giants have shown they can surprise, so this could be a close game. Still, the Mets have the tools to take charge and pull ahead at Citi Field.
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants: Under 5 Total Runs (+358)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The New York Mets have had a rough season, winning only 4 of their last 10 games. They struggle against left-handed pitchers, which is a concern since the San Francisco Giants have a solid lefty on the mound. The Mets have a decent hitting average against left-handers, but it hasn't been enough to consistently score big runs. The Giants, on the other hand, have also had trouble with lefties this year, hitting below the league average. Both teams have been inconsistent at home and on the road, so it's tough to expect a high-scoring game. With the odds showing a low total runs line, betting on under 5 runs makes sense, but keep in mind both teams could surprise us.
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants: Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+750)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Rafael Devers has been on a hot streak lately, getting hits about 1.2 times more often than normal. He's been hitting the ball hard and at the right angle, which makes him a real threat at the plate. The Mets have done decently against left-handed pitchers this season, and Devers has a good chance to score runs against the Giants, who struggle against lefties. While the Giants have won more games recently, their overall performance on the road has been shaky. Devers needs to keep up his strong hitting to score over 1.5 runs, and the matchup is close enough to make it risky. Still, with the right swings, he could easily find his way around the bases.
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants: Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+1200)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The New York Mets have been hitting decently against left-handed pitchers, and tonight, they face the San Francisco Giants, who struggle with lefties. The wind is blowing out toward the outfield, making it easier for hitters to send the ball flying. Marcus Semien has a chance to capitalize on this since he's been getting on base lately, averaging 0.3 hits and 0.3 strikeouts per game over the last few games. Betting on Semien to score over 1.5 runs feels promising, especially with the Mets' home advantage. However, given that both teams have been inconsistent, there's a solid risk that the game could be close and low-scoring. Still, with the right opportunities, Semien could find a way to cross the plate and make this bet worthwhile.
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants: Turner Hill Over 1.5 Batter - Runs Scored (+1600)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Turner Hill has a tough task ahead as the Mets take on the Giants at Citi Field. While the Mets have struggled lately, they've shown a decent ability to hit left-handers, which might help Hill. The Giants, however, have found left-handed pitchers to be a challenge this season, so it's not a guaranteed win for Hill. This bet on Hill scoring over 1.5 runs is a real long shot, but the chance comes from the Mets' home advantage and their ability to score against lefties. Still, with the right connections, anything is possible!
That is the full board for this game. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article