Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-112)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Hawks roll into Madison Square Garden, Jalen Johnson's performance could take a hit against the Knicks. Sure, his recent numbers look solid, averaging 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists over his last five games. But let's dig a little deeper. On the road, Johnson has posted an average of just 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists, which brings his total closer to 17.4-just under our target line of 17.5. Moreover, when facing the Knicks, he's averaged just 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists in away matchups, struggling to meet that threshold. With a hit rate of 3 out of 4 on the road and the way the Knicks' defense tightens at home, targeting the Under on Johnson's combined rebounds and assists feels like a savvy play. It's not a matter of talent; it's about matchups, and this one doesn't favor him.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 32.5 Points + Rebounds (-111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Hawks prepare to face the Knicks, Jalen Johnson's performance could be pivotal, but it may not hit the heights we expect. While he's been solid, averaging 20.8 points and 10 rebounds on the road recently, those numbers have translated into just 32.5 combined points and rebounds against tough defenses like New York's. Notably, Johnson has excelled in recent outings, yet his average against the Knicks is only 16.4 points with 9.8 rebounds away. The Knicks have a knack for stifling opponents, and with Johnson's current trend-hitting the under in 7 of his last 7 games-it's reasonable to anticipate a dip in production. With expectations set around 28.18 for his totals, targeting the under on 32.5 seems wise; the matchup and historical data lean toward a quieter night for Johnson in Madison Square Garden.

Landry Shamet (New York Knicks) Over 7.5 Points + Rebounds (+101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In this upcoming matchup between the New York Knicks and the Atlanta Hawks, Landry Shamet is positioned to make a significant impact. Playing at home, he's been on a tear lately, hitting the over on his points and rebounds total an impressive 10 out of 12 times in front of the home crowd. With an average of 4.8 points against the Hawks and a noticeable uptick to 7 points when playing at Madison Square Garden, he's clearly more comfortable in familiar surroundings. While his recent averages are modest-6.6 points and 1.4 rebounds-don't let those fool you. The expected stat value of 10.73 suggests he has room to exceed expectations. With a hit rate of 13 out of his last 17 games, it's clear that Shamet knows how to deliver when it counts. Betting on him to go over 7.5 is not just a chance; it's a calculated play based on his home success and historical

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