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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia 76ers
VS
Atlanta Hawks

Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 12, 10:18AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

NBA
State Farm Arena, Atlanta
Indoor
Sun 14 Dec 2025, 11:00PM
9
Game markets graded
5
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Atlanta Hawks -4.5 (Spread)
The model graded 14 markets for Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks (NBA) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $189 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 85.1%, fair odds 1.17, book price -112, model edge +32.2%. Tip-off Sun 14 Dec 2025, 11:00PM at State Farm Arena.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Atlanta Hawks
-3.5
-112
+ 8 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Atlanta HawksPoint SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta HawksPoint SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta HawksPoint SpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Atlanta HawksMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia 76ers

  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope GDay-to-day

Atlanta Hawks

  • Mouhamed Gueye FDay-to-day
  • Keshon Gilbert GDay-to-day
  • RayJ Dennis GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 25, 9:44PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 4 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability4 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Dyson Daniels Atlanta Hawks Points
Paul George Philadelphia 76ers 3-Pointers
Joel Embiid Philadelphia 76ers Blocks
Paul George Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Asts
Zaccharie Risacher Atlanta Hawks Pts + Rebs

+ 5 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsPhiladelphia 76ers @ Atlanta HawksNo line posted

Atlanta Hawks and Philadelphia 76ers combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadAtlanta Hawks spreadNo line posted

Atlanta Hawks (season record) meet Philadelphia 76ers; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineAtlanta Hawks to winNo line posted

Atlanta Hawks (season record) host or visit Philadelphia 76ers; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Atlanta Hawks totalNo line posted

Atlanta Hawks averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Philadelphia 76ers; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Philadelphia 76ers totalNo line posted

Philadelphia 76ers averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Atlanta Hawks; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Philadelphia 76ers @ Atlanta Hawks — what the model found

Our model graded 14 betting markets for Philadelphia 76ers at Atlanta Hawks — 9 on the game itself and 5 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

9
Game markets graded
5
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 14 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 13 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Who’s out or in doubt

4 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerStatus
Mouhamed Gueye FDAY-TO-DAY
Keshon Gilbert GDAY-TO-DAY
RayJ Dennis GDAY-TO-DAY
Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerStatus
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope GDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Philadelphia 76ers @ Atlanta Hawks — model preview

Unlock potential winning bets for Atlanta Hawks playing Philadelphia 76ers. Includes analysis on key players like Adem Bona. Analysis includes NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers stats and odds.

Adem Bona (Philadelphia 76ers) Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds (-135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the fast-paced world of NBA betting, Adem Bona's recent performances have turned heads, making him an intriguing prop bet for points + rebounds over 12.5 in the upcoming Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers game. The 76ers' away games have seen Bona average 11.2 points and 6.4 rebounds, exceeding the set point. Despite being on the road, Bona's record remains unblemished, hitting the mark in his last four away games. And let's not forget his head-to-head with the Hawks. Bona's been a consistent thorn in Atlanta's side, notching an average of 15 points and 4 rebounds in their previous encounters. With these numbers under his belt, the odds of Bona outperforming his predicted outcome look promising. So if you're seeking a thrilling twist for your betting strategy, wagering on Bona's over 12.5 points + rebounds could be a slam dunk.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
14 Dec 25 Team Total Over 108.5 ✓ HIT
14 Dec 25 Spread Atlanta Hawks -3.5 ✗ MISS
14 Dec 25 Moneyline Atlanta Hawks ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia 76ers vs Atlanta Hawks in the NBA. You may also see this matchup written as 76ers vs Hawks, or as Hawks vs 76ers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 14 December 2025 at State Farm Arena. The model has generated 9 game picks and 5 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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