Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 20.5 Rebounds + Assists (-278)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In this Saturday showdown between the Knicks and Hawks, Jalen Johnson presents an intriguing case for the Under on his combined rebounds and assists prop at 20.5. Although he's been impressive lately, averaging 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists over his last five games, the road has not been as kind to him. Away from home, his numbers dip to 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists, translating to a more modest 17.4 total.Moreover, against the Knicks specifically, he averages just 9.8 boards and 6 assists when playing away, reflecting a trend that could continue in this matchup. With an impressive hit rate of 8/9 on the road recently, expectations might be high, but the data paints a clearer picture. As Johnson faces a tough Knicks defense, targeting the Under seems prudent. It's all about the numbers, and they lean heavily toward a quieter night for Jalen.

Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-417)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the New York Knicks gear up to face the Atlanta Hawks, all eyes will be on Mitchell Robinson. While he's a formidable presence in the paint, targeting him for under 11.5 rebounds is a savvy play. Despite his strong averages, Robinson's recent performances tell a different story. He's pulled down just 7.8 rebounds over his last five games, and even at home, where he typically flourishes, he's averaging only 8.8. Against the Hawks, who often favor a perimeter game, Robinson's rebounding opportunities may be limited. Historically, he's reached that 11.5 mark only once in the last 11 outings, with a remarkable 10 out of those 11 games going under. Given the stats and the match-up dynamics, it feels prudent to lean into the under; Robinson may find it tough to rack up those boards in this one.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-357)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson's rebounding performance. While he's had a solid surge lately, averaging 11.2 boards in his last five outings, the reality is that he tends to struggle on the road. In fact, his away average dips to just 10 rebounds, and against the Knicks, he's managed only 9.8 in their last matchups. Considering that the Knicks are one of the tougher teams to rebound against, it's no surprise that his expected stat value is around 9.34 for this game. With a hit rate of just 4 for his last 4 games overall and a staggering 8 of 9 away, it's clear the odds are not in Johnson's favor to surpass 12.5 rebounds. Betting the under feels like a smart play here, especially as he navigates a challenging Madison Square Garden atmosphere.

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