New York Knicks vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Key Insights: Analytics Breakdown

As the Atlanta Hawks gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson and his rebounding efforts. While he's been solid lately, averaging 11.2 boards over his last five games, his away performances tell a different story. Johnson has pulled down just 10 rebounds per game on the road, and against the Knicks, that figure dips to 9.8. What's more, the Knicks are a formidable opponent under the glass, which seems to stifle Johnson's rebounding output. Despite a perfect hit rate recently, his average of just 9.28 expected rebounds against a tough New York frontcourt suggests that hitting the under on 12.5 is a smart play. With an implied probability of 78.1%, it's hard to ignore the trends favoring the under in this matchup. Keep an eye on Johnson; the data leans heavily toward a quieter night on the boards.

Landry Shamet (New York Knicks) Over 3.5 Points (-135)

As the Knicks prepare to face the Hawks at home, all eyes should be on Landry Shamet to comfortably surpass that 3.5 points mark. Over his last five games, he's averaged an impressive 6.6 points, bringing a solid performance that should continue on home turf, where he's hitting at an even higher 6.2 points per game. Shamet has been particularly effective against the Hawks, averaging 7 points when playing at Madison Square Garden. With a hit rate of 10 out of his last 12 home games, it's clear that he thrives in familiar surroundings. Factor in his overall success, with 13 out of his last 17 games resulting in him eclipsing this point total, and it feels like a no-brainer. Given these trends, backing Shamet for the over is not just a bet; it's a smart play that aligns perfectly with his current form.