Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 20.5 Rebounds + Assists (-278)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Hawks face off against the Knicks, Jalen Johnson's recent performances suggest he may struggle to surpass the 20.5 mark for combined rebounds and assists. While Johnson has been solid overall, averaging 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists in his last five outings, his effectiveness tends to dip on the road. With averages of 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists away, he's shown a tendency to underperform, particularly against tough Knicks defenders. Moreover, in his last five games against New York, he's only managed 9.8 boards and 6 assists when playing away. Digging deeper, Johnson's hit rate is impressive when at home, but on the road, he's hit the under in 8 of his last 9 games. With the Knicks' defense poised to clamp down, banking on Johnson to stay under 20.5 seems like the smart play.

Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-476)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Knicks gear up to face the Hawks at Madison Square Garden, all eyes should be on Mitchell Robinson's rebounding numbers. While he's certainly a force in the paint, the numbers suggest a lean toward the under on his 12.5 rebounds. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 7.8 boards overall and 8.8 at home-well below this line. Historically, against Atlanta, he's managed only 9 rebounds per game at home. Furthermore, despite his impressive 11-for-11 hit rate on the under in his last 11 outings, it's worth noting that the Hawks are a challenging matchup, often spreading the floor and limiting traditional rebounding opportunities. With an expected stat value of only 8.8, it's clear that Robinson may find himself battling for boards more than usual. This trend suggests that taking the under could be a smart play as he faces off against a dynamic Atlanta lineup.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes should be on Jalen Johnson's rebounding numbers. The odds suggest a strong likelihood he'll fall short of the 12.5 mark, and the data backs that up. Averaging just 10 boards away from home over his last five games, Johnson has shown he struggles to make a significant impact on the glass in hostile environments. Even more telling is his average against the Knicks, where he's pulled down just 9.8 rebounds per game in away matchups. With the Knicks boasting a tough front line, this could be a challenging night for Johnson to find those extra boards. The narrative is clear: with an overall hit rate of 4 for 4 on this prop and an impressive 8 for 9 away, betting the under seems like the smart play as he's likely to be contained.

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