Landry Shamet (New York Knicks) Over 6.5 Points + Rebounds (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Knicks gear up to face the Hawks this Saturday, Landry Shamet is poised for a breakout performance. At home, he's been a reliable contributor, hitting over 6.5 points and rebounds in an impressive 10 of his last 12 games at Madison Square Garden. His recent form shows that he's averaging 6.6 points and 1.4 rebounds over the last five contests, but it's his home efficiency against Atlanta that really stands out. Shamet has notched an average of 7 points at home against the Hawks, alongside a solid 1.6 rebounds. With a hit rate of 13 out of his last 17 games overall, Shamet is clearly finding his rhythm. Given the stakes and the supportive crowd, betting on him to surpass that 6.5 mark feels like a smart play. Expect him to rise to the occasion and deliver for the Knicks.

Mikal Bridges (New York Knicks) Over 17.5 Points + Rebounds (+138)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Knicks gear up to face the Hawks, Mikal Bridges stands out as a prime candidate for the Over on points and rebounds at 17.5. While his recent average of 14.8 points and 2.4 rebounds may seem modest, the numbers tell a different story when it comes to his home performance. At Madison Square Garden, Bridges has clocked an impressive average of 22.4 points against Atlanta, coupled with nearly 3.6 rebounds per outing. Moreover, he's shown he can ramp up his game when needed. The Hawks' defense is vulnerable, particularly against players who can score and contribute on the boards. Given that Bridges has an expected stat value of 19.02, it's clear that he's capable of exceeding this line. With the Knicks looking to capitalize on home-court advantage, expect Bridges to thrive in this matchup.

Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Hawks gear up to face the Knicks in New York, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson's rebounding numbers. Now, while he's shown impressive averages overall-11.2 rebounds over the last five games-his away performances tell a different story. Johnson has only pulled down an average of 10 rebounds on the road, which dips even further to 9.8 against the Knicks specifically. Adding to the narrative, his recent away hit rate shows he's only surpassed the 12.5 mark in one of his last nine outings. With New York boasting a solid defensive unit, it's tough to envision Johnson breaking through that threshold. Given all this, the under on 12.5 rebounds for Johnson feels like a smart play. The numbers align to paint a clear picture: expect him to fall short in this matchup.

Mitchell Robinson (New York Knicks) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-500)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Knicks prepare to host the Hawks, all eyes will be on Mitchell Robinson's rebounding performance. While Robinson has shown flashes of brilliance, especially against Atlanta, recent numbers tell a different story. He's been averaging just 7.8 rebounds over his last five games, and at home, that number only creeps up to 8.8. What's particularly striking is his trend against the Hawks-though he has pulled down 11.8 in the past, that's not the consistent expectation we're looking at today.With Robinson's stats reflecting a robust undercurrent, it's telling that he's hit under 12.5 in his last 11 outings. This trend, combined with an implied probability of 83.3%, suggests we should expect him to struggle to crack that threshold again. Betting the under feels like a smart play as he navigates a tough interior against a Hawks team that can be surprisingly resilient on the boards.

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