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Jaxson Hayes

Los Angeles Lakers

Value call

Jaxson Hayes (Los Angeles Lakers) has one live pick today: over 14.5 pts rebs that pays $367 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
48 in 100
Predicted
14.2 Pts + Rebs
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 48.2% · the book's price implies 27.2% · gap +20.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA · Indoor
Sat 18 Apr, 8:30 PM ET
Jaxson Hayes
over 14.5 pts rebs
Pts + Rebs Over 14.5 +267 (3.67) · $100→$367
Value call
LEANWins about 48 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$36.70 Odds+267
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jaxson Hayes is Over 14.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 48 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 48%, the price says 27%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:52AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs48.2%—27.2%2.08+20.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jaxson Hayes (Los Angeles Lakers) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (+267)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to face the Rockets at home, Jaxson Hayes presents an intriguing opportunity for the Over 14.5 points and rebounds. Hayes has been finding his rhythm, averaging 13.6 points and 4.6 rebounds over his last five games. What's particularly enticing is his performance against Houston, where he's managed an average of 6.8 points and 3.2 rebounds at home in recent matchups. In fact, Hayes has successfully hit this mark in four of his last six games, showcasing a solid hit rate of 66.7%. With the Lakers looking to secure a crucial win, expect Hayes to be more involved in the offense, particularly given the Rockets' struggles on defense. The combination of his recent form and the home-court advantage sets the stage for him to exceed that 14.5 threshold. This game could be the perfect spot for Hayes to shine.

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Pick History & Track Record

Jaxson Hayes — 2024-25 season averages

Over 60 games in the 2024-25 season, Jaxson Hayes averaged 6.5 points, 4.6 rebounds and 1.0 assists in 18.8 minutes per game, shooting 71.0% from the field and 0.0% from three-point range.

6.5
PPG
4.6
RPG
1.0
APG
0.5
SPG
0.9
BPG
18.8
MPG
71.0%
FG%
0.0%
3P%

Jaxson Hayes — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jaxson Hayes has played 8.4 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

8.4
MPG (L5)
2.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jaxson Hayes — home vs away scoring

At home Jaxson Hayes averages 7.4 points per game; on the road, 5.4. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

7.4
PPG at home
5.4
PPG on the road

Jaxson Hayes — scoring by opponent

Jaxson Hayes scores most against the CLE, averaging 7.1 points per game in that matchup.

7.1
CLE
6.9
BOS
6.8
HOU
6.7
IND
6.3
UTAH
6.3
LAC

Jaxson Hayes — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jaxson Hayes has averaged 3.9 points, 4.0 rebounds and 0.3 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
27 Apr@ MIN4231
25 Apr@ MIN9210
22 Aprvs MIN9210
19 Aprvs MIN8130
11 Aprvs HOU12710
9 Apr@ DAL14350
8 Apr@ OKC27762
6 Apr@ OKC13750
4 Aprvs NO246120
3 Aprvs GS15230
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
28 Feb 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Golden State Warriors Pts + Rebs 8.5 Over -133 ✓ HIT
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
18 Apr 26 Houston Rockets @ Los Angeles Lakers Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers Rebounds — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers Rebounds — — — Pending
25 Mar 26 Los Angeles Lakers @ Indiana Pacers Rebounds — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jaxson Hayes (Los Angeles Lakers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jaxson Hayes is Over 14.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +20.9% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday 18 April at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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