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Jalen Duren

Detroit Pistons

Value call
🔥 4 Consecutive Hits

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) has one live pick today: under 12.5 rebounds that pays $172 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
87 in 100
Predicted
9.7 rebounds
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 87.3% · the book's price implies 58.1% · gap +29.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 6:30 PM ET
Jalen Duren
under 12.5 rebounds
Rebounds Under 12.5 -139 (1.72) · $100→$172
Value call
HIGHWins about 87 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$17.20 Odds-139
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalen Duren is Under 12.5 on Rebounds.
On Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 87 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 87%, the price says 58%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 5:33AM UTC
DAY-TO-DAY
Duren (reconditioning) won't suit up for Saturday's preseason game against the Wizards, Josh Robbins of The Athletic reports.
updated Oct 10, 9:44PM UTC
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds87.3%—58.1%1.15+29.1%

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AI Analysis

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Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) Under 12.5 Rebounds (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Pistons gear up to face the Magic, betting on Jalen Duren to pull down fewer than 12.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play. Sure, he's been solid at home, averaging 11.2 boards in his last five games at Little Caesars Arena, but those numbers tell a nuanced story. Against the Magic specifically, he's averaged just 10.4 rebounds in their last matchups, a mark that feels particularly relevant given the challenges he may face in this game.Duren's recent form shows a solid 4-for-4 hit rate on the under, but at home, he's only eclipsed this line in three of his last four contests. With an expected stat value hovering around 9.73, the odds suggest the under has a strong edge. Given the matchup dynamics and his recent performances, the under on Duren's rebounds could very well be the smart move this Sunday.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Jalen Duren — 2024-25 season averages

Over 84 games in the 2024-25 season, Jalen Duren averaged 11.8 points, 10.4 rebounds and 2.7 assists in 26.7 minutes per game, shooting 68.9% from the field.

11.8
PPG
10.4
RPG
2.7
APG
0.7
SPG
1.2
BPG
26.7
MPG
68.9%
FG%

Jalen Duren — recent role

Across his last 5 games, Jalen Duren has played 35.8 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

35.8
MPG (L5)
12.8
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

Jalen Duren — home vs away scoring

At home Jalen Duren averages 12.8 points per game; on the road, 10.8. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

12.8
PPG at home
10.8
PPG on the road

Jalen Duren — scoring by opponent

Jalen Duren scores most against the CHI, averaging 13.2 points per game in that matchup.

13.2
CHI
12.8
IND
11.4
MIA
10.7
CHA
10.7
ORL
10.5
NY

Jalen Duren — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, Jalen Duren has averaged 11.0 points, 10.3 rebounds and 3.6 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
1 Mayvs NY392163
29 Apr@ NY339146
27 Aprvs NY386174
24 Aprvs NY321683
21 Apr@ NY3712132
19 Apr@ NY25763
13 Apr@ MIL8412
11 Aprvs MIL3911165
10 Aprvs NY2618132
7 Aprvs SAC20696
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Rebounds 12.5 Under -139 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Rebs + Asts 14.5 Under -118 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Rebounds 11.5 Under +107 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Orlando Magic @ Detroit Pistons Rebounds — — — Pending
06 Apr 26 Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
06 Apr 26 Detroit Pistons @ Orlando Magic Pts + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jalen Duren (Detroit Pistons) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Jalen Duren is currently on a 4-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Jalen Duren is Under 12.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.1% on this pick. Their next game is Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons on Sunday 19 April at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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