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The latest Bet Better model pick for Konnor Griffin is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +17.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 4:51PM UTC
MLB

Konnor Griffin

MLB

+17.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -244 (1.41)
+17.9% Edge
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania · Outdoor
Thu 2 Jul, 4:35PM
OUT
The Pirates transferred Griffin (finger) to the 60-day injured list Saturday, Alex Stumpf of MLB.com reports.
updated Jul 11, 1:13PM UTC · 10d old
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Model Probability
88.8%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+17.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits88.8%70.9%1.13+17.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Konnor Griffin (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Phillies gear up to face the Pirates, all eyes will be on Konnor Griffin, who’s been finding it tough at the plate lately. Griffin's recent struggles are evident; he’s been held to fewer than two hits in several of his last outings, and the Pirates’ pitching staff has quietly been effective. With a solid ERA and a knack for inducing ground balls, their starter will challenge Griffin’s timing. Digging deeper, the Phillies’ lineup has been inconsistent against right-handed pitchers, and Griffin has particularly struggled against them in high-pressure situations. Coupled with the fact that the Pirates' bullpen can stifle late-game rallies, it seems likely that Griffin will come in under the 1.5 hits threshold. Given these dynamics, taking the under on his hits feels like a sound play for this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Jul 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -244 ✗ MISS
29 Jun 26 Pittsburgh Pirates @ Philadelphia Phillies Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -256 ✗ MISS
28 Jun 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Pittsburgh Pirates Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -263 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Konnor Griffin is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Konnor Griffin is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.9% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday 2 July at Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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