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Model picks & player props
Tampa Bay Rays
VS
Los Angeles Dodgers

Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 16, 4:33PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Outdoor
Wed 17 Jun 2026, 7:10PM
20
Game markets graded
19
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 (Spread)
The model graded 39 markets for Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $530 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 59.9%, fair odds 1.67, book price +430, model edge +41.1%. Tip-off Wed 17 Jun 2026, 7:10PM at Dodger Stadium.

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 693 of 1,394 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 16
Under 9.5
Kansas City Royals @ Los Angeles Angels
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $195
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers
+1.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Tampa Bay RaysSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Cole Sulser RPOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Jake Fraley RFOut
  • Griffin Jax SPOut
  • Shane McClanahan SPOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Ben Williamson 2BOut
  • Manuel Rodriguez RPOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Ian Seymour SP

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Tyler Glasnow SPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Will Smith COut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brock Stewart RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut

Probable pitcher

Justin Wrobleski SP
Availability updated Aug 15, 11:15PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Drew Rasmussen TBR Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Shohei Ohtani LAA Batter - Total Bases
Freddie Freeman ATL Batter - Hits
Kyle Tucker HOU Batter - Hits
Ryan Ward Batter - Hits

+ 19 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLos Angeles DodgersNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Tampa Bay Rays L53-2Free board8-8

Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Run LineLos Angeles Dodgers run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Tampa Bay Rays L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers spread form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay RaysNo line posted

Los Angeles Dodgers total runs form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsLos Angeles Dodgers team totalNo line posted
0.9runs we expect
L5 RF0.8L5 RA0.4Home L52-3vs Tampa Bay Rays L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers team total runs form: last five 2-3, 0.8 runs/gm.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Dodgers — what the model found

Our model graded 39 betting markets for Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Dodgers — 20 on the game itself and 19 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
19
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 39 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 38 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent results

Los Angeles Dodgers have won 3 of their last 5 games; Tampa Bay Rays have won 3 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–1MILHome
L1–4MILHome
L4–5MILHome
W4–2KCHome
W5–4KCHome
Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–4BALHome
L5–6BALHome
W12–4ATHAway
W8–4ATHAway
W10–6ATHAway

Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Los Angeles Dodgers won 3, Tampa Bay Rays won 0.

DateLos Angeles DodgersTampa Bay RaysWinner
Jun 1754Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 1710Los Angeles Dodgers
Jun 1643Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

22 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Tyler Glasnow SPOUT
Dalton Rushing COUT
Will Smith COUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Blake Treinen RPOUT
Kris Bubic SPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Bobby Miller SPOUT
Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Cole Sulser RPOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Jake Fraley RFOUT
Griffin Jax SPOUT
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Ben Williamson 2BOUT
Manuel Rodriguez RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Dodgers — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays. Includes analysis on key players like Shohei Ohtani. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays stats and odds.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Tampa Bay Rays : Los Angeles Dodgers +1.5 (-588)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
10
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
17 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 4.5 ✓ HIT
17 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 4 ✓ HIT
17 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 3.5 ✓ HIT
17 Jun 26 Moneyline Tampa Bay Rays ✗ MISS
17 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 3 ✓ HIT
17 Jun 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -2 ✗ MISS
17 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 2.5 ✓ HIT
17 Jun 26 Spread Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 ✗ MISS
17 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 2 ✓ HIT
17 Jun 26 Total Runs Over 1.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Rays vs Dodgers, or as Dodgers vs Rays. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 17 June 2026 at Dodger Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 19 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Los Angeles Dodgers 3–0 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
17 Jun 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Dodgers1–0Los Angeles Dodgers
17 Jun 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Dodgers5–4Los Angeles Dodgers
16 Jun 2026Tampa Bay Rays @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–3Los Angeles Dodgers
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