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The latest Bet Better model pick for Michael King is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 91%, versus the book's implied 62%, for a model edge of +29.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:35PM UTC
MLB

Michael King

MLB

+29.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed Under 5.5 -161 (1.62) · $100→$162
+29.0% Edge
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
Petco Park, San Diego, California · Outdoor
Mon 10 Aug, 12:20AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
90.7%
Implied Probability
61.7%
Model Edge
+29.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pitcher - Hits Allowed90.7%61.7%1.10+29.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/0
Last 5 games0/0
Last 10 games0/0

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AI Analysis

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Michael King Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

San Diego Padres play Houston Astros in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Michael King Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-161). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -161 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.21 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
90%hit L10
Streak2L2095%
O 2.590%
O 3.560%
O 4.560%
O 5.560%
O 6.550%
O 7.510%

Michael King MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Walks 2.5 Under -172 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Hits Allowed 4.5 Under +106 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres Pitcher - Earned Runs 2.5 Under -143 ✗ MISS
04 Aug 26 San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Hits Allowed Pending
04 Aug 26 San Diego Padres @ Arizona Diamondbacks Pitcher - Earned Runs Pending

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About This Player

Michael King is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Michael King is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +29.0% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs San Diego Padres on Monday 10 August at Petco Park, San Diego. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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