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The latest Bet Better model pick for Mickey Moniak is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On Batter - Total Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 43 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 43%, implied 49%, edge +3.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 total baseslanded 9 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 17, 7:34AM UTC
MLB

Mickey Moniak

COL

+3.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Over 1.5 +105 (2.05) · $100→$205
+3.0% Edge
San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Thu 17 Sep, 7:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
52 in 100
Predicted
1.9 Batter - Total Bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 51.8% · the book's price implies 48.8% · gap +3.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases51.8%43.4%48.8%2.31+3.0%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres: Mickey Moniak Over 1.5 Batter - Total Bases (+111)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The odds at +111 for Mickey Moniak to get over 1.5 total bases look promising. He's been hitting well at Coors Field, averaging nearly one home run per ten games, showing he can make solid contact. The Rockies have struggled lately, winning only one of their last ten games, but they still hit decent against left-handed pitchers, which is a good sign for Moniak's chances. On the other hand, the Padres are on a hot streak, winning nine of their last ten games. That said, Moniak's numbers suggest he can keep up with the competition, especially at home. The biggest risk is how close the two teams are in batting averages against lefties, so while he has a good shot, there are no guarantees.

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Pick History & Track Record

Mickey Moniak's lines for Thu 17 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Total Bases 1.5
+120 best over price · 9 booksWent over in 1 of the last 10 gamesHow many home runs does Mickey Moniak hit?

Mickey Moniak's batter total bases line is 1.5, best over price +120 across 9 books. He has gone over it in 1 of his last 10 games.

Batter Runs Scored 1.5
How many home runs does Mickey Moniak hit?

Mickey Moniak's batter runs scored line is 1.5.

Batter RBIs 0.5
+140 best over price · 3 booksHow many home runs does Mickey Moniak hit?

Mickey Moniak's batter rbis line is 0.5, best over price +140 across 3 books.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5
How many home runs does Mickey Moniak hit?

Mickey Moniak's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 0.5.

Batter Runs Scored 0.5
How many home runs does Mickey Moniak hit?

Mickey Moniak's batter runs scored line is 0.5.

Batter Hits 0.5
-222 best over price · 6 booksWent over in 7 of the last 10 gamesHow many home runs does Mickey Moniak hit?

Mickey Moniak's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -222 across 6 books. He has gone over it in 7 of his last 10 games.

Recent form (last 5 games)

Mickey Moniak is averaging 1.0 hits, 0.4 home runs and 1.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.0
Hits
0.4
HR
1.4
RBI
0.8
Runs
0.2
Walks
0.6
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Mickey Moniak has gone over 1.5 total bases in 10% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.510%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.50%
o5.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Mickey Moniak is averaging 1.0 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.0 in away games, including his recent form against SEA.

1.0
Hits · Overall
1.0
Hits · Away
1.2
Hits · vs SEA
0.4
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.6
HR · vs SEA
Quick answers:How many home runs does Mickey Moniak hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
16 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Strikeouts 1.5 Over +300 ✗ MISS
16 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Strikeouts 0.5 Over -196 ✓ HIT
15 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -556 ✗ MISS
15 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies Batter - RBIs — — — Pending
15 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
15 Sep 26 San Diego Padres @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Hits — — — Pending

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About This Player

Mickey Moniak (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Mickey Moniak is Over 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.0% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Colorado Rockies on Thursday 17 September at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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