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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake McCarthy is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 67%, for a model edge of +12.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:04PM UTC
MLB

Jake McCarthy

COL

+12.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -200 (1.50)
+12.7% Edge
Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies
Coors Field, Denver, Colorado · Outdoor
Sat 18 Jul, 12:40AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.4%
Implied Probability
66.7%
Model Edge
+12.7%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits79.4%66.7%1.26+12.7%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Jake McCarthy (COL) Under 1.5 Hits (-200)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Rockies and Reds clash, Jake McCarthy's under 1.5 hits seems like a wise play. Let’s dive into why. McCarthy has struggled against left-handers this season, and with Cincinnati’s likely starter being a southpaw, he may find himself in a tough spot. The Reds' pitching staff has been solid, particularly against right-handed hitters, limiting them to a modest .250 average. Moreover, McCarthy's recent form has been lackluster, with just five hits in his last 30 at-bats. That’s a worrying trend heading into a matchup against a pitcher who thrives on keeping hitters off balance. The Rockies have also been inconsistent at the plate, often struggling to string together hits, especially in crucial moments. With all these factors in play, expecting McCarthy to exceed 1.5 hits may be a stretch, making the under a savvy move for bettors looking to capitalize on the matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Jake McCarthy MLB hitsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Jake McCarthy MLB hits + runs + rbisseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Jul 26 Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -200 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 26 Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -156 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Jake McCarthy (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake McCarthy is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.7% on this pick. Their next game is Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies on Saturday 18 July at Coors Field, Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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