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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jake McCarthy is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 83%, for a model edge of +5.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:13PM UTC
MLB

Jake McCarthy

COL

+5.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -500 (1.20) · $100→$120
+5.5% Edge
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona · Indoor
Tue 11 Aug, 1:40AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
88.8%
Implied Probability
83.3%
Model Edge
+5.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles88.8%83.3%1.13+5.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Jake McCarthy (COL) Under 0.5 Doubles (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Arizona Diamondbacks play Colorado Rockies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jake McCarthy (COL) Under 0.5 Doubles (-500). That is a Doubles bet. It was priced at -500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

6 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming vs ARIU 1.5 -244
80%hit L10
Streak4L2085%
U 0.560%
U 1.580%
Game log vs U 1.54 / 7 hit
1002133

Jake McCarthy MLB hits: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs ARI. Current line U 1.5 at -244.

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs ARIU 1.5 -143
80%hit L10
Streak4L2085%
Game log vs U 1.53 / 7 hit
41032110

Jake McCarthy MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs ARI. Current line U 1.5 at -143.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs ARIO 1.5 -123
O 0.550%
O 1.520%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%
Game log vs O 1.54 / 6 hit
0441113

Jake McCarthy MLB hits + runs + rbis vs ARI. Current line O 1.5 at -123.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs ARIU 0.5 -169
70%hit L10
Streak3L2070%
Game log vs U 0.51 / 6 hit
021241

Jake McCarthy MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs ARI. Current line U 0.5 at -169.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs ARIU 0.5 -500
100%hit L10
Streak27L20100%
Game log vs U 0.53 / 5 hit
01100

Jake McCarthy MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games vs ARI. Current line U 0.5 at -500.

Batter - Stolen BasesUpcoming vs ARIU 0.5 -556
90%hit L10
Streak3L2095%
Game log vs U 0.55 / 5 hit
00000

Jake McCarthy MLB stolen bases: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs ARI. Current line U 0.5 at -556.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%

Jake McCarthy MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.4 · hi 2 · lo 0
00200

Jake McCarthy MLB rbisseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%
O 1.520%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.3 · hi 1 · lo 0
001

Jake McCarthy MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.530%
O 1.530%

Jake McCarthy MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Runs Scored 2.5 Under -303 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Singles 1.5 Under -179 ✓ HIT
09 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Stolen Bases Pending
09 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Stolen Bases Pending
09 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Walks Pending

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About This Player

Jake McCarthy (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jake McCarthy is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.5% on this pick. Their next game is Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks on Tuesday 11 August at Chase Field, Phoenix. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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