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Model picks & player props
Los Angeles Dodgers
VS
Cleveland Guardians

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 11:07PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Outdoor
Wed 28 May 2025, 5:10PM
20
Game markets graded
6
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 0.5 Team Total +1200

The model graded 26 markets for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $1,300 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 28 May 2025, 5:10PM at Progressive Field.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win15.9%
The price says7.7%
Best price+1200
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Team Total Under 0.5 Long-shot16% chance +1200
Team Total Long-shot27% chance
Team Total High69% chance
Team Total Long-shot40% chance
Team Total Lean55% chance
Team Total High80% chance
Team Total High89% chance
Team Total High95% chance
Team Total High98% chance
Batter - Total Bases × 2 props Highup to 73%
Batter - Stolen Bases × 4 props Highup to 94%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Team Total
Under
6.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Will Smith COut
  • Justin Wrobleski SPOut
  • Roki Sasaki SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Andy Pages CFOut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Tyler Glasnow SP

Cleveland Guardians

  • Rhys Hoskins 1BOut
  • Shawn Armstrong RPOut
  • Slade Cecconi SPOut

Probable pitcher

Parker Messick SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 5:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Gabriel Arias CLE Batter - Total Bases
Carlos Santana CLE Batter - Total Bases
Tommy Edman LAD Batter - Stolen Bases
Jose Ramirez CLE Batter - Stolen Bases
Mookie Betts LAD Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 6 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCleveland GuardiansNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.0L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Dodgers L52-3Free board17-14

Cleveland Guardians moneyline form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Run LineCleveland Guardians run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF1.0L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Dodgers L52-3

Cleveland Guardians spread form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles DodgersNo line posted

Cleveland Guardians total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCleveland Guardians team totalNo line posted
0.9runs we expect
L5 RF1.0L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Los Angeles Dodgers L52-3

Cleveland Guardians team total runs form: last five 1-4, 1.0 runs/gm.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cleveland Guardians — what the model found

Our model graded 26 betting markets for Los Angeles Dodgers at Cleveland Guardians — 20 on the game itself and 6 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
6
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 26 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 25 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians — recent results

Cleveland Guardians have won 3 of their last 5 games; Los Angeles Dodgers have won 1 of their last 5.

Cleveland Guardians — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–8KCHome
L0–3KCHome
W8–6LAAAway
W4–3LAAAway
W4–2LAAAway
Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2DETAway
W2–1DETAway
L0–1ATLAway
L5–6ATLAway
L3–4ATLAway

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians — recent meetings

These two have met 5 times recently: Cleveland Guardians won 2, Los Angeles Dodgers won 3.

DateCleveland GuardiansLos Angeles DodgersWinner
Apr 241Cleveland Guardians
Apr 114Los Angeles Dodgers
Mar 3142Cleveland Guardians
Mar 345Los Angeles Dodgers
Feb 24311Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cleveland Guardians
PlayerStatus
Rhys Hoskins 1BOUT
Shawn Armstrong RPOUT
Slade Cecconi SPOUT
Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Will Smith COUT
Justin Wrobleski SPOUT
Roki Sasaki SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Andy Pages CFOUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cleveland Guardians — model preview

Latest MLB betting preview: Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Dodgers. Get predictions and top picks. Includes analysis on key players like Carlos Santana. Keywords: MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Dodgers stats and odds.

Carlos Santana (CLE) Over 0.5 Total Bases (-185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Carlos Santana's recent performance data indicates a promising bet for Over 0.5 in the Batter Total Bases market. Despite an overall current hit streak of zero, Santana's statistics show a stronger performance at home games. His average hits at home in the last 5 games is 0.8, four times higher than his overall average of 0.2. This suggests that Santana has a higher likelihood of hitting at home. Furthermore, he has a record of hitting home runs against the Dodgers, with a L5 vs Opp HR Avg (Batting) of 0.2. This indicates that Santana has a history of scoring against this particular opponent. Therefore, based on his home game performance and historical data against the Dodgers, the bet on Carlos Santana for Over 0.5 in the Batter Total Bases market is a solid choice.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Dodgers vs Guardians, or as Guardians vs Dodgers. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 28 May 2025 at Progressive Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 6 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 20 meetings on record
Los Angeles Dodgers 13–7 across the last 20 meetings · these games average 8.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
2 Apr 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers1–4Cleveland Guardians
1 Apr 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–1Los Angeles Dodgers
31 Mar 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–4Cleveland Guardians
30 Mar 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–4Cleveland Guardians
3 Mar 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cleveland Guardians4–5Los Angeles Dodgers
24 Feb 2026Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers11–3Los Angeles Dodgers
28 May 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cleveland Guardians7–4Cleveland Guardians
27 May 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cleveland Guardians5–9Los Angeles Dodgers
26 May 2025Los Angeles Dodgers @ Cleveland Guardians2–7Los Angeles Dodgers
11 Mar 2025Cleveland Guardians @ Los Angeles Dodgers10–4Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 20 meetings on file.

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