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MLB

Gabriel Arias

CLE

+2.0% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -833 (1.12)
+2.0% Edge
Miami Marlins @ Cleveland Guardians
Progressive Field, Cleveland
Thu 14 Aug, 10:40PM
Model Probability
91.3%
Implied Probability
89.3%
Model Edge
+2.0%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Gabriel Arias (CLE) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Gabriel Arias in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice, primarily due to Arias's recent performance data. Over his last five games, both overall and at home, Arias has not recorded a single stolen base. Furthermore, when facing the Miami Marlins, Arias's stolen base average remains at zero. This trend suggests that Arias is not typically a risk-taker on the bases, or the opportunities for stealing bases have been limited. Additionally, the Marlins have an average of 0.2 caught steals per game, indicating their proficiency in preventing stolen bases. Despite Arias's current hit streak, his lack of stolen bases in recent games makes the under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

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