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Model picks & player props
Chicago White Sox
VS
Baltimore Orioles

Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 8:33PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Wed 1 Jul 2026, 4:35PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Under 7 (Total Runs)
The model graded 20 markets for Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $435 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 38.6%, fair odds 2.59, book price +335, model edge +15.6%. Tip-off Wed 1 Jul 2026, 4:35PM at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Chicago White Sox · $100 returned $224

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Total Runs
Under
10
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago White Sox

  • Chase Meidroth 2BDay-to-day
  • Drew Thorpe SPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Chris Murphy RPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Kyle Teel COut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Baltimore Orioles

  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Felix Bautista RPOut
  • Samuel Basallo COut
  • Chris Bassitt SPOut
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut

Probable pitcher

Trevor Rogers SP
Availability updated Aug 10, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 20 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability20 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBaltimore OriolesNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA0.6Home L54-1vs Chicago White Sox L52-3Free board8-8

Baltimore Orioles moneyline form: last five 5-0, 2.2 runs/gm.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run lineNo line posted
5-0L5 record
L5 RF2.2L5 RA0.6Home L54-1vs Chicago White Sox L52-3Free board10-9

Baltimore Orioles spread form: last five 5-0, 2.2 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago White SoxNo line posted

Baltimore Orioles total runs form: last five 5-0, 2.2 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
1.9runs we expect
L5 RF2.2L5 RA0.6Home L54-1vs Chicago White Sox L52-3

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 5-0, 2.2 runs/gm.

Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore Orioles — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Chicago White Sox at Baltimore Orioles — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles — recent results

Baltimore Orioles have won 2 of their last 5 games; Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5.

Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W10–5TEXAway
L1–2TEXAway
L1–5TEXAway
L1–4LAAHome
W5–2LAAHome
Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3CLEHome
W6–3CLEHome
L2–8CLEHome
L11–12BOSAway
L0–4BOSAway

Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Baltimore Orioles won 1, Chicago White Sox won 2.

DateBaltimore OriolesChicago White SoxWinner
Jul 161Baltimore Orioles
Jun 3039Chicago White Sox
Jun 2928Chicago White Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

20 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Felix Bautista RPOUT
Samuel Basallo COUT
Chris Bassitt SPOUT
Colin Selby RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Keegan Akin RPOUT
Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Chase Meidroth 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Drew Thorpe SPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Chris Murphy RPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Kyle Teel COUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
4
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
01 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 10 ✓ HIT
30 Jun 26 Total Runs Under 7 ✗ MISS
30 Jun 26 Moneyline Chicago White Sox ✓ HIT
30 Jun 26 Total Runs Under 8.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago White Sox vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Orioles, or as Orioles vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 1 July 2026 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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