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Model picks & player props
MLB
Target Field, Minneapolis
Outdoor
Wed 12 Aug 2026, 1:40 PM ET
Baltimore Orioles
VS
Minnesota Twins

Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins and backs Minnesota Twins hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $196.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Minnesota Twins
to win
Minnesota Twins Moneyline
You bet$10 If it wins$19.62Best price-104
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win57.7%
The price says50.5%

The model graded 70 markets for Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $196 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 12 Aug 2026, 1:40 PM ET at Target Field.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Minnesota Twins Lean58% chance -104
Spread Members only Long-shot34% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean52% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only Lean45% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot34% chance Members
Batter - Total Bases × 6 props Highup to 94% Members
Batter - Singles × 7 props Highup to 93% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 81% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 7 props Highup to 93% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 2 props Highup to 78% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 7 props Highup to 87% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 1 prop Highup to 77% Members
Batter - Hits × 3 props Highup to 92% Members
Batter - Walks × 10 props Highup to 96% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins last met on Wed 12 Aug 2026: Minnesota Twins won 7-5. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Minnesota Twins
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 75,033+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Minnesota TwinsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Minnesota TwinsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Baltimore Orioles

  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Kyle Bradish SPOut
  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Jackson Holliday 2BOut
  • Cade Povich SPOut
  • Reed Trimble LFDay-to-day
  • Cameron Foster RPDay-to-day

Minnesota Twins

  • Trevor Larnach LFOut
  • Cole Sands RPOut
  • Pablo Lopez SPOut
  • David Festa SPOut
  • Mick Abel SPOut
  • Anthony Banda RPOut
  • Jeff Hoffman RPOut
  • Byron Buxton CFOut
  • Walker Jenkins CFOut
Availability updated Nov 11, 5:39PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Luke Keaschall Batter - Total Bases
Trevor Larnach MIN Batter - Singles
Shane Baz TBR Pitcher - Strikeouts
Josh Bell WSN Batter - Runs Scored
Ryan Kreidler Batter - Singles

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMinnesota TwinsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs Baltimore Orioles L55-0

Minnesota Twins moneyline form: last five 4-1, 5.4 runs/gm.

Run LineMinnesota Twins run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF5.4L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs Baltimore Orioles L55-0

Minnesota Twins spread form: last five 4-1, 5.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore OriolesNo line posted

Minnesota Twins total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMinnesota Twins team totalNo line posted
4.6runs we expect
L5 RF5.4L5 RA2.2Home L52-3vs Baltimore Orioles L55-0

Minnesota Twins team total runs form: last five 4-1, 5.4 runs/gm.

Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins — recent results

Minnesota Twins have won 4 of their last 5 games; Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5.

Minnesota Twins — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4TEXHome
W10–2TEXHome
L2–6TEXHome
W3–2SFAway
W4–2SFAway
Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–6NYYAway
W10–2NYYAway
W4–2TORHome
W4–2TORHome
W4–3TORHome

Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Minnesota Twins are scoring 1.0 runs per game (1-4) while Baltimore Orioles are at 1.6 (4-1); Minnesota Twins pitchers are allowing 1.6 earned runs per game versus 0.6 for Baltimore Orioles.

1.0
Minnesota Twins runs/G
1.6
Baltimore Orioles runs/G
Last 5 gamesMinnesota TwinsBaltimore Orioles
Runs / game1.01.6
Hits / game1.42.8
Home runs / game0.00.4
Walks drawn / game0.81.6
Batter K / game1.01.8
Earned runs allowed / game1.60.6
Pitching K / game1.81.4
Walks allowed / game0.80.8
L5 record1-44-1

Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Minnesota Twins won 3, Baltimore Orioles won 5.

DateMinnesota TwinsBaltimore OriolesWinner
Aug 1275Minnesota Twins
Aug 1125Baltimore Orioles
Aug 1095Minnesota Twins
Mar 2968Baltimore Orioles
Mar 2841Minnesota Twins
Mar 2612Baltimore Orioles
Mar 723Baltimore Orioles
Feb 24510Baltimore Orioles

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Minnesota Twins
PlayerStatus
Trevor Larnach LFOUT
Cole Sands RPOUT
Pablo Lopez SPOUT
David Festa SPOUT
Mick Abel SPOUT
Anthony Banda RPOUT
Jeff Hoffman RPOUT
Byron Buxton CFOUT
Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Kyle Bradish SPOUT
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
Jackson Holliday 2BOUT
Cade Povich SPOUT
Reed Trimble LFDAY-TO-DAY
Cameron Foster RPDAY-TO-DAY

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins — model preview

Our Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins prediction for August 13, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 13, 2026 our model has run Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Leody Taveras (TEX) Under 0.5 Walks (-312), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Orioles vs Twins, or as Twins vs Orioles. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 12 August 2026 at Target Field. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 12 Aug 2026Minnesota Twins beat Baltimore Orioles 7-5 at home
  • 11 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles beat Minnesota Twins 5-2 on the road
  • 10 Aug 2026Minnesota Twins beat Baltimore Orioles 9-5 at home

Baltimore Orioles: last 5 results

  1. 25 Sep 2026Lostat New York Yankees 3-6
  2. 25 Sep 2026Wonat New York Yankees 10-2
  3. 23 Sep 2026Wonvs Toronto Blue Jays 4-2
  4. 23 Sep 2026Wonvs Toronto Blue Jays 4-2
  5. 21 Sep 2026Wonvs Toronto Blue Jays 4-3

Minnesota Twins: last 5 results

  1. 27 Sep 2026Wonvs Texas Rangers 6-4
  2. 26 Sep 2026Lostvs Texas Rangers 2-6
  3. 25 Sep 2026Wonvs Texas Rangers 10-2
  4. 23 Sep 2026Wonat San Francisco Giants 4-2
  5. 22 Sep 2026Wonat San Francisco Giants 3-2

Quick answers

Who won the last Minnesota Twins vs Baltimore Orioles game? Minnesota Twins won their last meeting 7-5 on 12 August 2026.

How have Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins done lately? Baltimore Orioles won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold. Minnesota Twins won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins: the season so far

From every final score this season

Baltimore Orioles are 79-82 this season and Minnesota Twins are 77-85. Minnesota Twins are 42-39 at home. Baltimore Orioles are 40-40 on the road. Minnesota Twins score 4.6 runs a game and let in 4.9. Baltimore Orioles score 4.5 and let in 4.6. Minnesota Twins games have averaged 9.5 runs in total; Baltimore Orioles games have averaged 9.0.

SeasonBaltimore OriolesMinnesota Twins
Won-lost79-8277-85
At home39-4242-39
On the road40-4035-46
Last 106-46-4
Runs scored a game4.54.6
Runs let in a game4.64.9
Runs scored at home4.24.6
Runs scored away4.74.5
Against winning sides29-4629-42
Current runLost 1Won 1
Biggest win13-1 at St. Louis Cardinals15-2 vs Detroit Tigers
Heaviest loss17-1 vs Boston Red Sox15-2 at Chicago White Sox

Teams they have both played

  • Against Texas Rangers: Minnesota Twins won 6-4 at home; Baltimore Orioles won 10-5 on the road.
  • Against San Francisco Giants: Minnesota Twins won 4-2 on the road; Baltimore Orioles won 6-2 at home.
  • Against Los Angeles Angels: Minnesota Twins won 8-0 on the road; Baltimore Orioles lost 1-4 at home.

Quick answers

How are Minnesota Twins doing this season? Minnesota Twins are 77-85 this season: 42-39 at home and 35-46 on the road.

How many runs do Baltimore Orioles score a game? Baltimore Orioles score 4.5 runs a game this season and let in 4.6, across 161 games.

Wins and losses come from the final score, overtime included. “Against winning sides” counts games against teams that have won more than half their games this season.

Baltimore Orioles vs Minnesota Twins head-to-head record

Final scores · 35 meetings on record
Baltimore Orioles 22–12 across the last 35 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 9.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 12 Aug 2026, Baltimore Orioles at Minnesota Twins: the Twins won 7-5.

DateGameScoreWinner
12 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins7–5Minnesota Twins
11 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins2–5Baltimore Orioles
10 Aug 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins9–5Minnesota Twins
29 Mar 2026Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles8–6Baltimore Orioles
28 Mar 2026Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles1–4Minnesota Twins
26 Mar 2026Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles2–1Baltimore Orioles
7 Mar 2026Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles3–2Baltimore Orioles
24 Feb 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Minnesota Twins5–10Baltimore Orioles
15 May 2025Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles0–4Minnesota Twins
14 May 2025Minnesota Twins @ Baltimore Orioles3–6Minnesota Twins

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 35 meetings on file.

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