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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Austin Martin is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 94%, versus the book's implied 92%, for a model edge of +2.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 5, 9:14PM UTC
MLB

Austin Martin

MIN

+2.0% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -1111 (1.09)
+2.0% Edge
Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri · Outdoor
Wed 5 Aug, 11:40PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
93.7%
Implied Probability
91.7%
Model Edge
+2.0%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases93.7%91.7%1.07+2.0%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/4
Last 10 games1/4

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AI Analysis

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Austin Martin (MIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Kansas City Royals play Minnesota Twins in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Austin Martin (MIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111). That is a Stolen Bases bet. It was priced at -1111 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $10.90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

7 markets live
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming vs KCRU 1.5 -132
70%hit L10
Streak4L2060%

Austin Martin MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared under 1.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs KCR. Current line U 1.5 at -132.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs KCRU 0.5 -400
70%hit L10
Streak4L2073%

Austin Martin MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs KCR. Current line U 0.5 at -400.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs KCRU 0.5 -154
60%hit L10
Streak3L2053%

Austin Martin MLB runs scored: cleared under 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games vs KCR. Current line U 0.5 at -154.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs KCRU 0.5 -128
80%hit L10
L2087%

Austin Martin MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs KCR. Current line U 0.5 at -128.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs KCRU 0.5 -588
90%hit L10
L2080%

Austin Martin MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs KCR. Current line U 0.5 at -588.

Batter - WalksUpcoming vs KCRU 0.5 -182
70%hit L10
L2080%

Austin Martin MLB walks: cleared under 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games vs KCR. Current line U 0.5 at -182.

Batter - Stolen BasesUpcoming vs KCRU 0.5 -1111
90%hit L10
Streak8L2087%

Austin Martin MLB stolen bases: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs KCR. Current line U 0.5 at -1111.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
Streak3
O 0.550%

Austin Martin MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 1.530%
O 2.520%
O 3.520%

Austin Martin MLB total basesseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.520%

Austin Martin MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.510%
O 1.510%

Austin Martin MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Austin Martin (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Austin Martin is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City Royals on Wednesday 5 August at Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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