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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks Value Parlay: Analytics Breakdown
Deep dive into Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies. Find value betting opportunities. Featuring picks like NA props. Check out same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Let's talk about Anthony Edwards in his upcoming home game against Memphis Grizzlies. He's a skilled player, no doubt, but a 39.5 point performance? That's a tall order, even for him. In his last five home games, he's averaged 22.2 points. Impressive, sure, but it's a far cry from the 39.5 mark we're considering. Even when he's faced the Grizzlies, his numbers haven't skyrocketed; he's been steady, with an average of 21.8 points overall, and 26.2 at home. Edwards has consistently hit 'Under' in his last 11 games, and his home record is spotless with 5 'Unders' in his last 5. The stats are telling a clear story here. Edwards might put on a show, but the likelihood of him outscoring his recent performances by nearly 18 points seems slim. So, we're targeting 'Under'
Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 44.5 Points + Assists (-1429)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Anthony Edwards is a solid performer, no doubt, but when the Timberwolves host the gritty Grizzlies this Wednesday, we're seeing a strong case for him falling under the 44.5 points + assists mark. Edwards has a consistent track record, averaging 23 points and 4.6 assists overall in his last 5 games, yet these numbers are far from our target. Even on home turf, where he's slightly more generous on the assist front with an average of 6.2, the combined tally barely breaches the 30 mark. Against the Grizzlies, Edwards' numbers are also modest, with home averages of 26.2 points and 5.4 assists. Sure, he's been hitting the mark lately, but with the Grizzlies' stout defense in the mix, it's highly probable that Edwards' combined points and assists will hover closer to his expected stat value of 31.72, making the Under 44.5 a compelling proposition.
Anthony Edwards (Minnesota Timberwolves) Under 45.5 Points + Rebounds (-1429)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Let's take a good look at Anthony Edwards going into Wednesday's game. There's no denying the Timberwolves' young gun has been lighting up the boards, but the 45.5 mark set by FanDuel for his points and rebounds seems a touch too high. Even on his home court, Edwards has been averaging 22.2 points and 8.6 rebounds per game - that's a solid 30.8, but a far cry from 45.5. He's also had a quieter performance against the Grizzlies, averaging 26.2 points and 4.4 rebounds at home. His track record is impressive, sure, with an 11-game hit streak overall and perfect 5/5 at home; but keep in mind, these are well under the set mark. So, while Edwards is undoubtedly a rising star, the numbers suggest he might not quite hit those heights on Wednesday. Let's play the under game on this one.
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