Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 43.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When looking at Victor Wembanyama's upcoming matchup against the Grizzlies, it's hard not to feel a bit cautious about his chances of hitting the over on 43.5 points, rebounds, and assists. Sure, he's a phenom, but the numbers tell a different story in away games. Over the last five, he's averaging just 20 points and 11.4 rebounds, which, when combined with his typical 3 assists, puts him around 36.63-a solid 7-point cushion below our line.Memphis is tough defensively, and Wembanyama has had mixed success against them, averaging only 21.4 points historically. With an impressive away hit rate of 10 out of 11 on the under, it's clear that the road has been more challenging for him. Given these factors, betting on the under seems like the savvy play as he might find himself stifled in a hostile environment.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Spurs roll into Memphis, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, the rising star with sky-high expectations. However, a closer look at his recent performance suggests that he may struggle to hit the combined mark of 39.5 points and rebounds. Over his last five games, he's averaged 23.8 points and 11.2 rebounds, falling short of the target both at home and on the road. When playing away, his numbers dip slightly, with just 20 points and 11.4 rebounds in those last five outings. Moreover, against Memphis, he has averaged 21.4 points and 9.2 rebounds, which translates to around 30-31 when factoring in potential variance. With a 70% hit rate on the Under in his last 11 away games, it's clear that this matchup could see Wembanyama come in under that lofty line. Betting the Under feels like a savvy move here.

Dylan Harper (San Antonio Spurs) Under 20.5 Points + Assists (-110)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In Thursday's showdown between the Memphis Grizzlies and San Antonio Spurs, Dylan Harper's recent form suggests a solid opportunity to bet the under on his combined points and assists total of 20.5. With an average of just 15.6 points and 4.8 assists over his last five games, he's been well below our target. Considering he's playing away, Harper's numbers drop even further, with an average of only 4 points and 3 assists against the Spurs in their last matchup. His overall hit rate is impressive, going under in 11 of his last 16 games, and he's been even more reliable on the road, hitting the under in 12 of his last 18. The trends favor a quieter night for Harper, making the under a compelling play as he navigates a tough Spurs defense.

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