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Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Picks (Victor Wembanyama Key Factor): Full Breakdown & Bets
Expert analysis and top betting picks for Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs. Includes analysis on key players like Victor Wembanyama. Discover NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs stats and odds.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
When the Spurs roll into Memphis, all eyes will be on Victor Wembanyama, but a closer look at his recent performances suggests he might struggle to reach 12.5 rebounds. In the last five games, he's averaging 11.2 boards overall, and even less on the road-11.4-where he faces tougher competition. Against the Grizzlies specifically, he's averaged just 9.2 rebounds, dipping to 7.2 during previous visits to Memphis. Moreover, Wembanyama has only hit the over in this rebound count 7 out of his last 9 games, and even more telling, he's gone under 12.5 in 10 of his last 14 away games. With such data backing the notion that he may struggle in this matchup, betting the under looks appealing. It seems that the home crowd and a gritty Grizzlies frontcourt could keep his rebounding numbers in check tonight.
Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-128)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs take on the Grizzlies in Memphis, it's worth considering the value on the under for his three-pointers made. While Wembanyama has showcased his shooting prowess, recent trends tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 1.6 threes, and when playing away, that figure drops to 1.4. The matchup against the Grizzlies, who have been solid defensively on the perimeter, adds to our case. Historically, Wembanyama has made 2.2 threes against Memphis, but when factoring in his recent away performances, we see a stark contrast with just 1.8 threes made. Given that he's hit the under in 11 consecutive road games, this trend suggests that expecting him to exceed 2.5 threes might be overly optimistic. With momentum on the side of the under, placing a wager here seems wise.
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