Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-159)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we gear up for the Grizzlies' clash with the Spurs, keeping an eye on Olivier-Maxence Prosper's three-point shooting could be wise. Despite a solid home court advantage, he's been averaging just 1.2 threes over his last five games and hasn't found the net against the Spurs in their recent encounters. In fact, he's been held scoreless from beyond the arc in both matchups at home against San Antonio. Looking closer, Prosper has hit the under on threes in 17 of his last 20 home games, showing a clear trend. While he can be explosive, the numbers suggest he's more likely to fall short than exceed the 1.5 mark tonight. With an implied probability of 61.3% for this under, taking the bet feels like a savvy move-especially against a Spurs defense that's been tough on shooters.

Harrison Barnes (San Antonio Spurs) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (+198)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Harrison Barnes is stepping into a prime opportunity as the Spurs visit the Grizzlies. Sure, his recent averages of 11 points and 3 rebounds might raise some eyebrows, but let's not forget the context. Barnes has consistently shown he can rise to the occasion, hitting the combined points and rebounds mark in 3 of his last 4 games. Against Memphis, he's averaged about 13 points, though his away numbers dip slightly. However, Barnes is no stranger to bouncing back; his hit rate away is a solid 2 of 3 recently. Plus, the Grizzlies' defense can be vulnerable, especially when it comes to versatile forwards like Barnes who can stretch the floor. With an implied probability nudging around 33.6% and that 16% model edge, it seems like a great spot for Barnes to not just meet but exceed that 14.5 mark. Expect him to step up and deliver in this matchup!

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 14.5 Rebounds (-385)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs face off against the Memphis Grizzlies, all eyes will be on the rising star Victor Wembanyama. However, betting on him to snag over 14.5 rebounds feels like a gamble best avoided. His recent performances paint a nuanced picture; while he's averaging 11.2 rebounds across his last five outings, he's managed just 9.2 against Memphis historically, dipping to a mere 7.2 when playing away. Moreover, his away game record shows a noteworthy trend-he's hit the under in 12 of his last 14 away contests. With the Grizzlies' physical frontcourt and their propensity to crash the boards, Wembanyama may find it challenging to grab those boards. The numbers suggest that a safe bet here is on Wembanyama staying under that 14.5 mark, making this prop an intriguing option to consider.

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