Predictions
Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Picks : Odds Analysis & Top Props
Deep dive into Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like Victor Wembanyama. Check out NBA predictions, NBA game picks, betting preview, Memphis Grizzlies vs San Antonio Spurs stats and odds.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As Victor Wembanyama prepares to face the Memphis Grizzlies, the spotlight is on his rebounding numbers, particularly with the line set at 12.5. Despite his towering presence, Wembanyama has been a bit of a rollercoaster on the glass lately. Over his last five games, he's averaging 11.2 boards, and when you zoom in on his away performances, that number dips slightly to 11.4. Against the Grizzlies, the trend continues, where he's averaged just 9.2 rebounds in their last five encounters, and a meager 7.2 when playing away. With a hit rate of just 7 out of his last 9 games landing under this line, and a promising 10 out of 14 on the road, the signals are clear. Taking the under on Wembanyama's rebounds feels like a savvy play in this matchup.
Olivier-Maxence Prosper (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-154)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Memphis Grizzlies gear up to face off against the San Antonio Spurs, keep an eye on Olivier-Maxence Prosper's three-point shooting, particularly the under on 1.5 threes made. While Prosper has shown flashes of promise, his recent form against the Spurs has been telling-he hasn't hit a single three in his last five matchups against them, and at home, he's averaging only 0.9 threes over his last five games. Moreover, his impressive 17 out of 20 hit rate at home might seem enticing, but the Spurs' defense has historically stifled him, making this matchup particularly challenging. With an implied probability of 60.6% for this under bet, it feels like a solid play. Expect Prosper to be more selective and take a few less-than-ideal shots, which could leave him just shy of that 1.5 mark.
Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Under 2.5 Threes Made (-130)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
As the Spurs head to Memphis, eyes are on Victor Wembanyama, especially when it comes to his three-point shooting. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, recent trends suggest he might struggle to reach the 2.5 mark tonight. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 1.6 threes total, and on the road, that number dips to 1.4. Historically, against the Grizzlies, he's only hitting around 1.8 threes per game when away. Given that the Grizzlies typically play tough defense, especially at home, it's reasonable to predict Wembanyama will be kept in check. His overall consistency is impressive-he's hit the under in his last 11 away games-but against tougher defenses like Memphis, it might be wise to lean into the under on his threes made. Expect a tight battle that could limit his deep shots, making the under on 2.5 a savvy play.
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