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Model picks & player props
NFL
Green Bay
Sun 11 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET
Chicago Bears
VS
Green Bay Packers

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers and backs Under 22.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $230.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Chicago Bears
under 22.5 points
Under 22.5 Alternate Team Total Points
You bet$10 If it wins$23.00Best price+130
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win44.7%
The price says41.2%

The model graded 70 markets for Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers (NFL) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $230 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 11 Oct 2026, 1:00 PM ET at Green Bay.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Alternate Team Total Points Chicago Bears Under 22.5 Lean45% chance +130
Alternate Team Total Points Members only Long-shot33% chance Members
Team Total Members only Lean49% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean48% chance Members
Total Points Members only Lean50% chance Members
Receiving Yards (Alt) × 4 props Highup to 96% Members
Receptions × 9 props Highup to 84% Members
Passing Yards × 1 prop Highup to 72% Members
Rush + Rec Yards × 1 prop Highup to 73% Members
Receptions (Alt) × 7 props Highup to 84% Members
Receiving Yards × 9 props Highup to 73% Members
Rushing Yards (Alt) × 2 props Highup to 93% Members
Rushing Yards × 3 props Highup to 70% Members
Pass Completions × 1 prop Highup to 67% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers last met on Sun 11 Oct 2026: Green Bay Packers won 31-7. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every NFL game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Alternate Team Total Points
Under
22.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam TotalThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Green Bay PackersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Green Bay PackersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderAlternate Team Total PointsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago Bears

  • Anthony Johnson Jr. SOut
  • Kyle Monangai RBQuestionable
  • Colston Loveland TEQuestionable
  • D'Marco Jackson LBQuestionable
  • Coby Bryant SOut
  • Jack Sanborn LBQuestionable
  • Cole Kmet TEOut
  • Malik Muhammad II CBQuestionable

Green Bay Packers

  • Christian Watson WRQuestionable
  • Kaleb Johnson RBOut
  • Jonnu Smith TEOut
  • Sean Rhyan GOut
  • Travis Glover OTOut
  • Donovan Jennings GOut
  • Zaire Franklin LBOut
  • Micah Parsons DEOut
Availability updated Oct 31, 1:01PM UTC — NFL availability is season-pending (off-season); treat as a placeholder until the season opens. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers: Outdoors with 13 mph wind, 16°F — stronger wind and cold both nudge totals and the kicking game down, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Roof / venueopen-air outdoor
Surfacenatural grass
Wind13 mph
Temperature16°F
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: sustained wind above ~15 mph and hard cold both drag NFL totals and kicking numbers down, while a key skill-position player being out shifts target and touch share to his backups.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Kalif Raymond CHI Receiving Yards (Alt)
Kalif Raymond CHI Receptions
Jordan Love GB Passing Yards
MarShawn Lloyd GB Rush + Rec Yards
Kalif Raymond CHI Receptions (Alt)

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineGreen Bay Packers to winNo line posted

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears moneyline — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Point SpreadGreen Bay Packers spreadNo line posted

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears spread — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Total PointsBears @ PackersNo line posted

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears game total — the live line, our model's read and how the free board has gone so far, tracked every game week on BetBetter.

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers — recent results

Green Bay Packers have won 4 of their last 5 games; Chicago Bears have won 4 of their last 5.

Green Bay Packers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W27–19CARHome
L17–20DETAway
W23–13DALHome
W31–7CHIHome
W17–14TBAway
Chicago Bears — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W30–24NEHome
W31–23ATLAway
L7–31GBAway
W23–12NYJHome
W27–7PHIHome

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers — recent meetings

These two have met 2 times recently: Green Bay Packers won 1, Chicago Bears won 1.

DateGreen Bay PackersChicago BearsWinner
Oct 11317Green Bay Packers
Jan 112731Chicago Bears

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Green Bay Packers
PlayerStatus
Christian Watson WRQUESTIONABLE
Kaleb Johnson RBOUT
Jonnu Smith TEOUT
Sean Rhyan GOUT
Travis Glover OTOUT
Donovan Jennings GOUT
Zaire Franklin LBOUT
Micah Parsons DEOUT
Chicago Bears
PlayerStatus
Anthony Johnson Jr. SOUT
Kyle Monangai RBQUESTIONABLE
Colston Loveland TEQUESTIONABLE
D'Marco Jackson LBQUESTIONABLE
Coby Bryant SOUT
Jack Sanborn LBQUESTIONABLE
Cole Kmet TEOUT
Malik Muhammad II CBQUESTIONABLE

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers — model preview

Green Bay Packers v Chicago Bears, 12 October 2026. Top of the list: Christian Watson (GB) Over 5.5 Player receptions alternate.

On Monday 12 October 2026, Green Bay Packers play Chicago Bears in the NFL. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Christian Watson (GB) Over 5.5 Player receptions alternate, priced at +220 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Christian Watson (GB) Over 5.5 Player receptions alternate (+220)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Green Bay Packers play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Sunday 11 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Christian Watson (GB) Over 5.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at +220 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $32 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers in the NFL. You may also see this matchup written as Bears vs Packers, or as Packers vs Bears. The most recent game between them was Sunday 11 October 2026 at Green Bay. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NFL betting strategy for this matchup.

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 11 Oct 2026Green Bay Packers beat Chicago Bears 31-7 at home
  • 10 Jan 2026Chicago Bears beat Green Bay Packers 31-27 at home

Chicago Bears: last 5 results

  1. 22 Oct 2026Wonvs New England Patriots 30-24
  2. 18 Oct 2026Wonat Atlanta Falcons 31-23
  3. 11 Oct 2026Lostat Green Bay Packers 7-31
  4. 4 Oct 2026Wonvs New York Jets 23-12
  5. 28 Sep 2026Wonvs Philadelphia Eagles 27-7

Green Bay Packers: last 5 results

  1. 29 Oct 2026Wonvs Carolina Panthers 27-19
  2. 25 Oct 2026Lostat Detroit Lions 17-20
  3. 18 Oct 2026Wonvs Dallas Cowboys 23-13
  4. 11 Oct 2026Wonvs Chicago Bears 31-7
  5. 4 Oct 2026Wonat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17-14

Quick answers

Who won the last Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears game? Green Bay Packers won their last meeting 31-7 on 11 October 2026.

How have Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers done lately? Chicago Bears won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold. Green Bay Packers won 4 and lost 1 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers head-to-head record

Final scores · 25 meetings on record
Green Bay Packers 19–6 across the last 25 meetings · these games average 45.0 points (meetings on record since 2015)

Last meeting: Sun 11 Oct 2026, Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: the Packers won 31-7.

DateGameScoreWinner
11 Oct 2026Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers31–7Green Bay Packers
11 Jan 2026Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears31–27Chicago Bears
10 Jan 2026Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears31–27Chicago Bears
20 Dec 2025Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears22–16Chicago Bears
7 Dec 2025Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers28–21Green Bay Packers
5 Jan 2025Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers22–24Chicago Bears
17 Nov 2024Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears19–20Green Bay Packers
7 Jan 2024Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers17–9Green Bay Packers
10 Sep 2023Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears20–38Green Bay Packers
4 Dec 2022Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears19–28Green Bay Packers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 25 meetings on file.

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