Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 23.5 Rebounds + Assists (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Denver Nuggets and the Portland Trail Blazers, targeting Nikola Jokic for under 23.5 combined rebounds and assists seems like a savvy play. While Jokic has been a monster on the boards and dishing out assists, recent trends suggest he might struggle to hit that mark against Portland. Over his last five home games, he's averaged 14.6 boards and 13.2 assists, which sounds impressive until you realize that against the Trail Blazers, his averages drop to 13.2 rebounds and 10.2 assists. Plus, with Denver's offense evolving and other players stepping up, Jokic might not need to shoulder such a heavy load.His recent overall hit rate also indicates that he's only surpassed this total twice in his last three games. Given the matchup and how well the Blazers defend the paint, betting the under feels like a prudent choice here.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 33.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers head into Denver, Deni Avdija's performance warrants a closer look, particularly when considering the Under on his points plus assists total of 33.5. While he's been solid, averaging 22.4 points and 6.6 assists over his last five games, his away numbers tell a different story. On the road, he's managed 25.2 points and 7.4 assists, but those figures dip against the Nuggets, where he averages just 13.4 points and 5.8 assists in his last five outings.Moreover, he's hit the Under in five of his last six games, and his 8-for-12 success rate away suggests that playing in a tough Denver environment could stifle his contributions. With an expected stat value significantly lower than 33.5, it's reasonable to expect Avdija will struggle to reach that mark in this matchup. Betting the Under feels like a savvy play here.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 25.5 Points (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As Deni Avdija takes the floor in Denver, the odds favor a more subdued performance. While he's been a solid contributor, averaging 22.4 points over his last five games, a closer look reveals he often struggles on the road against the Nuggets. In fact, his average against them dips to a mere 13.4 points when playing away. This matchup is particularly challenging considering the Nuggets' defensive prowess. They excel at limiting opposing scorers, especially in their home arena. Avdija's overall hit rate is impressive at 16 out of 19, but let's not overlook that he's hit under 25.5 points in 10 of his last 12 games on the road. With an expected stat value of just 21.59 and a market set at 25.5, it seems prudent to lean toward the under for Avdija's points total tonight.

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