Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 23.5 Rebounds + Assists (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Denver Nuggets prepare to face off against the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but there's a compelling case to take the under on his combined rebounds and assists total of 23.5. While Jokic has been a force, averaging a remarkable 15.2 rebounds and 12.8 assists in his last five games, recent matchups tell a different story against Portland. His average dips to 11.8 boards and 9.6 assists against them, and at home, those numbers slightly improve but are still below our target. With a home hit rate of just 2 out of 3 games recently, it seems the Blazers have found ways to limit his impact. Given these factors and an expected stat value of 20.54, this could be the perfect moment to bank on Jokic falling short of that lofty mark.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 33.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Trail Blazers head to Denver, all eyes will be on Deni Avdija, but there's a compelling case for taking the under on his combined points and assists at 33.5. While Avdija has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent numbers tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaging 22.4 points and 6.6 assists, which barely nudges him above our target. When we zoom in on his away performances, those figures dip to 25.2 points and 7.4 assists-less than what's needed to clear this line. Even more telling, his average against the Nuggets is just 22.2 points, with a paltry 13.4 when playing in Denver. Given that he's hit the under 8 of his last 12 away games, it feels like a savvy play to expect him to fall short against a solid Nuggets defense. Trust the trends and consider the under here.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 25.5 Points (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Portland Trail Blazers face off against the Denver Nuggets, all eyes will be on Deni Avdija, but betting on him to stay under 25.5 points could be the savvy play here. While he's been impressive lately, averaging 25.2 points in his last five away games, history tells a different story when he visits Denver. In fact, his average against the Nuggets in away games dips dramatically to just 13.4 points. With a robust 16 out of his last 19 games hitting under this mark, it's clear that Avdija struggles to find his rhythm against this specific opponent. The Nuggets are known for their defensive prowess, which could further stifle his scoring opportunities. When you combine these trends with an expected stat value of 21.56, targeting the under makes not just sense, but feels like a smart move for this matchup.

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