Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 25.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As Deni Avdija heads into this matchup against the Denver Nuggets, the under on his points prop at 25.5 seems like a wise play. While he's been lighting it up lately, averaging 22.4 points over his last five games, his away performances tell a different story. In fact, he's only managed 13.4 points against the Nuggets when playing on the road, a stark contrast to his general scoring ability.With the Nuggets having a solid defense and Avdija facing tougher matchups away from home, it's likely he'll struggle to hit that lofty mark. Plus, his recent track record shows a hit rate of 10 out of his last 12 away games under this total. Given all these factors, expecting him to stay under 25.5 feels like a sound bet. The numbers paint a clear picture: while he's capable, this matchup isn't conducive to big scoring from Avdija.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 10.5 Assists (+108)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Nuggets gear up to host the Portland Trail Blazers, it's intriguing to set our sights on Nikola Jokic's assists, specifically betting the under at 10.5. Though he's been a distribution powerhouse lately, averaging over 12 assists in his last five games, the matchup against Portland tells a different story. Historically, Jokic has averaged just 9.6 assists against the Blazers, and even at home, he's only slightly improved that to 10.2. With the stakes high, he may lean more towards scoring and taking charge rather than dishing out assists, especially if Denver looks to assert themselves early. The potential for him to fall below his usual output is supported by an expected stat value of 9.44. Given all this, taking the under feels like a savvy move in this high-pressure scenario.

Donovan Clingan (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Trail Blazers gear up to face the Nuggets, Donovan Clingan's rebounding numbers are raising eyebrows, especially with the line set at 11.5. While Clingan has averaged 10.6 boards on the road recently, his overall performance against teams like Denver tells a different story. In his last five games against the Nuggets, he's been pulling down an impressive 12.8 rebounds per outing, but those figures can be deceiving. He's also hit the under in three straight games, averaging just 10 rebounds overall. Given the Nuggets' strong frontcourt presence, Clingan might struggle to find those second-chance opportunities. As the game unfolds in Denver, expect defensive adjustments that could limit his chances on the glass. With an expected stat value of just 10.26, betting the under on Clingan's rebounds feels like a savvy move in this matchup.

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