Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Under 23.5 Rebounds + Assists (+102)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Denver Nuggets face off against the Portland Trail Blazers, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but betting the under on his combined rebounds and assists at 23.5 could be the smart play. Sure, Jokic has been a rebounding machine lately, averaging 15.2 boards and 12.8 assists over his last five games. However, his numbers tend to dip against the Blazers, where he's averaged just 20.78 combined in recent matchups. At home, those numbers rise slightly to 13.2 rebounds and 10.2 assists, yet even in familiar territory, he hasn't eclipsed this mark in two of his last three games against Portland. With the Nuggets' focus on ball movement and the potential for a slower-paced game, Jokic might not need to carry the load as much. Taking the under seems like a prudent approach here; sometimes, the star shines brighter when he doesn't have to do it all.

Deni Avdija (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 39.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-112)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Deni Avdija has been a reliable contributor for the Trail Blazers, but when the team heads to Denver, the narrative shifts. Averaging 22.4 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 6.6 assists over his last five games, his overall production looks solid. However, a deeper dive reveals a concerning trend when he's away from home. Against the Nuggets, Avdija's numbers dip significantly, with an average of just 13.4 points and 5.4 rebounds in away matchups. The altitude and Denver's defensive schemes seem to stifle him. Plus, his assist numbers drop to 5.8 in similar situations. With an expected stat value of 33.62 and a hit rate of only 8 out of his last 12 road games, targeting the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists feels like a savvy move. Trust the data; this matchup might not be as kind to Avdija as it

Donovan Clingan (Portland Trail Blazers) Under 13.5 Rebounds + Assists (+104)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Portland Trail Blazers face off against the Denver Nuggets, all eyes will be on Donovan Clingan, but I'm leaning toward the under on his combined rebounds and assists total of 13.5. Clingan has been solid overall, averaging 10 rebounds and 1.4 assists in his last five games. However, his recent away performances tell a different story with averages dipping slightly to 10.6 rebounds and just 2 assists. Against the Nuggets, he's had mixed results, securing only 12.8 rebounds and 1.2 assists in their recent matchups. With the pressure of the away crowd in Denver, it's likely he'll struggle to hit that 13.5 mark. His hit rate is promising at 7 for his last 14 away games, but that's still only 50%. Given these factors, I see value in taking the under for Clingan as he navigates a tough matchup on the road.

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